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Head to Head

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Caleb Williams vs Lamar JacksonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Lamar Jackson's 16.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams is the better play on a neutral week. 18.7 PPG with 4,347 yards gives a reliable baseline. Lamar Jackson at 16.5 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Caleb Williams higher, but do not fade Lamar Jackson entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER
Caleb Williams
PPG
18.7
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,942
Pass TDs
27
Rush Yds
383
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 10
QBBaltimore Ravens#16
Lamar Jackson
PPG
16.5
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,549
Pass TDs
21
Rush Yds
349
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Caleb Williams
Lamar Jackson

Head to Head

18.7 PPG16.5 PPG
17 GP13 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Lamar Jackson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #16 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Lamar Jackson at 75%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Lamar Jackson: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Caleb Williams and Lamar Jackson for your lineup, you are not alone. Caleb Williams finished the 2025 season at 18.7 PPG for the Chicago Bears (17 games), and Lamar Jackson averaged 16.5 for the Baltimore Ravens (13 games).

That 2.2-point weekly advantage for Caleb Williams is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Lamar Jackson posted 2549 yards and 21 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Caleb Williams sits Week 10 while Lamar Jackson is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Lamar Jackson (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Caleb Williams outscored Lamar Jackson by a projected 37 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Lamar Jackson's 13. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Caleb Williams is 5 years younger than Lamar Jackson (24 vs 29), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Lamar Jackson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCaleb WilliamsLamar Jackson
PPG (Half-PPR)18.716.5
Games Played1713
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)318215
Passing Yards3,9422,549
Passing TDs2721
Pass Yds/Game231.9196.1
Rushing Yards383349
Rushing TDs32
Total TDs3123
TDs/Game1.81.8
Age2429
Experience1 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 13

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Caleb Williams at 18.7 PPG, 2.2 points per game above Lamar Jackson's 16.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Lamar Jackson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Lamar Jackson's 16.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Lamar Jackson average in 2025?

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Lamar Jackson averaged 16.5 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 2.2 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Lamar Jackson's bye weeks in 2026?

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Lamar Jackson (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Lamar Jackson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Caleb Williams outscored Lamar Jackson by 2.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.