Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Justin HerbertWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Justin Herbert's 17.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Caleb Williams edges Justin Herbert by 0.8 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Caleb Williams goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBLos Angeles Chargers#10

Justin Herbert

PPG

17.9

Games

Pass Yds

3,727

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

498

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Justin Herbert

Head to Head

18.7 PPG17.9 PPG

17 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Justin Herbert: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #10 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Justin Herbert at 81%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Caleb Williams vs Justin Herbert: The Full Breakdown

Caleb Williams (18.7 PPG) and Justin Herbert (17.9 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Caleb Williams played 17 games for the Chicago Bears; Justin Herbert suited up 16 times for the Los Angeles Chargers.

A 0.8-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Justin Herbert offers meaningful rushing upside with 498 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Caleb Williams (3942 passing yards, 27 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Caleb Williams sits Week 10 while Justin Herbert is off Week 7. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Justin Herbert (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Justin Herbert by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Justin Herbert's 16. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Justin Herbert added 498 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Caleb Williams is 4 years younger than Justin Herbert (24 vs 28), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Justin Herbert: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Caleb Williams	Justin Herbert
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.7	17.9
Games Played	17	16
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	318	286
Passing Yards	3,942	3,727
Passing TDs	27	26
Pass Yds/Game	231.9	232.9
Rushing Yards	383	498
Rushing TDs	3	2
Total TDs	31	28
TDs/Game	1.8	1.8
Age	24	28
Experience	1 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 7

Summary

Caleb Williams outscored Justin Herbert by 0.8 PPG in 2025 (18.7 to 17.9). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Justin Herbert in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Justin Herbert's 17.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Justin Herbert average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Justin Herbert's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Justin Herbert (LAC) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Justin Herbert a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Justin Herbert by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.