Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Kyler Murray's 15.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.1-PPG advantage is real (18.7 to 15.6), and Caleb Williams's 31 touchdowns show scoring upside. Kyler Murray is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBArizona Cardinals#22

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Kyler Murray

Head to Head

18.7 PPG15.6 PPG

17 GP5 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) finished the 2025 season averaging 18.7 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals) came in at 15.6 PPG over 5 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Caleb Williams carries a 3.1-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Caleb Williams sits Week 10 while Kyler Murray is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Caleb Williams at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Kyler Murray is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Kyler Murray by a projected 53 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Caleb Williams is 4 years younger than Kyler Murray (24 vs 28), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Caleb Williams	Kyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.7	15.6
Games Played	17	5
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	318	78
Passing Yards	3,942	962
Passing TDs	27	6
Pass Yds/Game	231.9	192.4
Rushing Yards	383	173
Rushing TDs	3	1
Total TDs	31	7
TDs/Game	1.8	1.4
Age	24	28
Experience	1 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 14

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Caleb Williams holds the PPG edge with strong output at 18.7 points per game. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Kyler Murray's 15.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Kyler Murray average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 3.1 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Kyler Murray by 3.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.