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Head to Head

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Caleb Williams vs Russell WilsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Russell Wilson's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams is the better play on a neutral week. 18.7 PPG with 4,347 yards gives a reliable baseline. Russell Wilson at 14.2 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Caleb Williams higher, but do not fade Russell Wilson entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER
Caleb Williams
PPG
18.7
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,942
Pass TDs
27
Rush Yds
383
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 10
QBPittsburgh Steelers#99
Russell Wilson
PPG
14.2
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,890
Pass TDs
18
Rush Yds
155
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 9

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Caleb Williams
Russell Wilson

Head to Head

18.7 PPG14.2 PPG
17 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Russell Wilson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Russell Wilson at 65%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Russell Wilson: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Caleb Williams and Russell Wilson for your lineup, you are not alone. Caleb Williams finished the 2025 season at 18.7 PPG for the Chicago Bears (17 games), and Russell Wilson averaged 14.2 for the Pittsburgh Steelers (14 games).

That 4.5-point weekly advantage for Caleb Williams is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Russell Wilson posted 2890 yards and 18 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Caleb Williams is off Week 10 and Russell Wilson Week 9. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Caleb Williams is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Russell Wilson is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Russell Wilson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Caleb Williams outscored Russell Wilson by a projected 77 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Russell Wilson's 14. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Russell Wilson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCaleb WilliamsRussell Wilson
PPG (Half-PPR)18.714.2
Games Played1714
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)318199
Passing Yards3,9422,890
Passing TDs2718
Pass Yds/Game231.9206.4
Rushing Yards383155
Rushing TDs32
Total TDs3120
TDs/Game1.81.4
Age24-
Experience1 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 9

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Caleb Williams at 18.7 PPG, 4.5 points per game above Russell Wilson's 14.2. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Russell Wilson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Russell Wilson's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Russell Wilson average in 2025?

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Russell Wilson averaged 14.2 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 4.5 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Russell Wilson's bye weeks in 2026?

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Russell Wilson (PIT) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Russell Wilson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Caleb Williams outscored Russell Wilson by 4.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.