Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Tua TagovailoaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 18.7 PPG and 4,347 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Tua Tagovailoa (11.5 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Caleb Williams as the starter and Tua Tagovailoa as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBMiami Dolphins#35

Tua Tagovailoa

PPG

11.5

Games

Pass Yds

2,660

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Tua Tagovailoa

Head to Head

18.7 PPG11.5 PPG

17 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Tua Tagovailoa: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #35 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Tua Tagovailoa at 52%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Tua Tagovailoa: The Full Breakdown

Caleb Williams and Tua Tagovailoa are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Chicago Bears quarterback averaged 18.7 PPG in 2025, a full 7.2 points per game ahead of Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 with the Miami Dolphins. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

Caleb Williams carries a 7.2-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Tua Tagovailoa posted 2660 yards and 20 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Caleb Williams has his bye in Week 10, and Tua Tagovailoa rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Caleb Williams at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Tua Tagovailoa is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Tua Tagovailoa (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Tua Tagovailoa by a projected 122 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 14. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Caleb Williams is 4 years younger than Tua Tagovailoa (24 vs 28), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Tua Tagovailoa: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Caleb Williams	Tua Tagovailoa
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.7	11.5
Games Played	17	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	318	161
Passing Yards	3,942	2,660
Passing TDs	27	20
Pass Yds/Game	231.9	190.0
Rushing Yards	383	43
Rushing TDs	3	0
Total TDs	31	20
TDs/Game	1.8	1.4
Age	24	28
Experience	1 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Caleb Williams holds the PPG edge with strong output at 18.7 points per game. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Tua Tagovailoa in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Tua Tagovailoa average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 7.2 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Tua Tagovailoa's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Tua Tagovailoa a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Tua Tagovailoa by 7.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.