Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Tyler ShoughWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Tyler Shough's 14.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams is the better play on a neutral week. 18.7 PPG with 4,347 yards gives a reliable baseline. Tyler Shough at 14.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Caleb Williams higher, but do not fade Tyler Shough entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Caleb Williams and Tyler Shough in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App

QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBNew Orleans Saints#24

Tyler Shough

PPG

14.4

Games

Pass Yds

2,384

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

186

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Tyler Shough

Head to Head

18.7 PPG14.4 PPG

17 GP11 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Tyler Shough: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Tyler Shough at 65%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Tyler Shough: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Caleb Williams and Tyler Shough is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Chicago Bears quarterback put up 18.7 PPG in 2025 over 17 games; Tyler Shough of the New Orleans Saints averaged 14.4 in 11. A 4.3-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 4.3 points favors Caleb Williams, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Tyler Shough posted 2384 yards and 10 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Caleb Williams is off Week 10 and Tyler Shough Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Caleb Williams is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Tyler Shough is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Tyler Shough (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Tyler Shough by a projected 73 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Shough's 11. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Tyler Shough: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Caleb Williams	Tyler Shough
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.7	14.4
Games Played	17	11
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	318	158
Passing Yards	3,942	2,384
Passing TDs	27	10
Pass Yds/Game	231.9	216.7
Rushing Yards	383	186
Rushing TDs	3	3
Total TDs	31	13
TDs/Game	1.8	1.2
Age	24	26
Experience	1 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 8

Summary

18.7 PPG for Caleb Williams versus 14.4 for Tyler Shough in 2025. The baseline favors Caleb Williams, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Caleb Williams vs Tyler Shough

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Caleb Williams vs Tyler Shough

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Tyler Shough in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Tyler Shough's 14.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Tyler Shough average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tyler Shough averaged 14.4 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 4.3 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Tyler Shough's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Tyler Shough (NO) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Tyler Shough a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Tyler Shough by 4.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.