Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

C.J. Stroud vs Davis MillsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

C.J. Stroud is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.9 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

C.J. Stroud is the better fantasy play this season.

C.J. Stroud has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.5-PPG advantage is real (14.9 to 11.4), and C.J. Stroud's 20 touchdowns show scoring upside. Davis Mills is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBHouston Texans#23PPG LEADER

C.J. Stroud

PPG

14.9

Games

Pass Yds

3,041

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

209

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

C.J. Stroud

Davis Mills

Head to Head

14.9 PPG11.4 PPG

14 GP6 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

C.J. Stroud: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #23 at the position). Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, C.J. Stroud is producing at 68% of elite pace and Davis Mills at 52%. That ranking gap means C.J. Stroud carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

C.J. Stroud vs Davis Mills: The Full Breakdown

C.J. Stroud and Davis Mills are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. C.J. Stroud averaged 14.9 PPG across 14 games with the Houston Texans, while Davis Mills posted 11.4 PPG in 6 appearances for the Houston Texans.

A 3.5-PPG gap gives C.J. Stroud the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. C.J. Stroud threw for 3041 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Davis Mills posted 915 yards and 5 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 8 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire C.J. Stroud at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: C.J. Stroud (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•C.J. Stroud outscored Davis Mills by a projected 60 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•C.J. Stroud played 14 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means C.J. Stroud contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•C.J. Stroud scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Both players share a Week 8 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

C.J. Stroud vs Davis Mills: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	C.J. Stroud	Davis Mills
PPG (Half-PPR)	14.9	11.4
Games Played	14	6
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	209	68
Passing Yards	3,041	915
Passing TDs	19	5
Pass Yds/Game	217.2	152.5
Rushing Yards	209	60
Rushing TDs	1	1
Total TDs	20	6
TDs/Game	1.4	1.0
Age	24	27
Experience	2 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 8

Summary

C.J. Stroud outscored Davis Mills by 3.5 PPG in 2025 (14.9 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start C.J. Stroud or Davis Mills in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, C.J. Stroud has the edge at 14.9 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did C.J. Stroud and Davis Mills average in 2025?▾

C.J. Stroud averaged 14.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG over 6 games. That is a difference of 3.5 points per game.

Do C.J. Stroud and Davis Mills share a bye week?▾

Yes, both C.J. Stroud and Davis Mills share a Week 8 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is C.J. Stroud or Davis Mills a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

C.J. Stroud outscored Davis Mills by 3.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.