Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Dak Prescott vs Davis MillsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dak Prescott is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.5 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dak Prescott is the better fantasy play this season.

Dak Prescott is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 18.5 PPG and 4,729 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Dak Prescott as the starter and Davis Mills as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBDallas Cowboys#9PPG LEADER

Dak Prescott

PPG

18.5

Games

Pass Yds

4,552

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

177

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 14

QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Dak Prescott

Davis Mills

Head to Head

18.5 PPG11.4 PPG

17 GP6 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Dak Prescott: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #9 at the position). Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Dak Prescott is producing at 84% of elite pace and Davis Mills at 52%. That ranking gap means Dak Prescott carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dak Prescott vs Davis Mills: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Dak Prescott put up 18.5 fantasy points per game for the Dallas Cowboys in 2025, while Davis Mills managed 11.4 across 6 games with the Houston Texans. A 7.1-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

A 7.1-PPG gap gives Dak Prescott the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Dak Prescott threw for 4552 yards and 30 touchdowns, while Davis Mills posted 915 yards and 5 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Dak Prescott sits Week 14 while Davis Mills is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Dak Prescott at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Dak Prescott (age 32) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Dak Prescott outscored Davis Mills by a projected 121 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Dak Prescott played 17 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Dak Prescott contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dak Prescott scored 32 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Davis Mills is 5 years younger than Dak Prescott (27 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dak Prescott vs Davis Mills: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dak Prescott	Davis Mills
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.5	11.4
Games Played	17	6
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	315	68
Passing Yards	4,552	915
Passing TDs	30	5
Pass Yds/Game	267.8	152.5
Rushing Yards	177	60
Rushing TDs	2	1
Total TDs	32	6
TDs/Game	1.9	1.0
Age	32	27
Experience	9 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 8

Summary

Dak Prescott outscored Davis Mills by 7.1 PPG in 2025 (18.5 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dak Prescott or Davis Mills in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dak Prescott has the edge at 18.5 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dak Prescott and Davis Mills average in 2025?▾

Dak Prescott averaged 18.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG over 6 games. That is a difference of 7.1 points per game.

When are Dak Prescott and Davis Mills's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dak Prescott (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dak Prescott or Davis Mills a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Dak Prescott outscored Davis Mills by 7.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.