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Head to Head

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Dak Prescott vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dak Prescott is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.5 PPG to Kyler Murray's 15.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dak Prescott is the better fantasy play this season.

Dak Prescott is the better play on a neutral week. 18.5 PPG with 4,729 yards gives a reliable baseline. Kyler Murray at 15.6 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Dak Prescott higher, but do not fade Kyler Murray entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBDallas Cowboys#9PPG LEADER
Dak Prescott
PPG
18.5
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,552
Pass TDs
30
Rush Yds
177
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 14
QBArizona Cardinals#22
Kyler Murray
PPG
15.6
Games
5
Pass Yds
962
Pass TDs
6
Rush Yds
173
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dak Prescott
Kyler Murray

Head to Head

18.5 PPG15.6 PPG
17 GP5 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Dak Prescott: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #9 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Dak Prescott is producing at 84% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Dak Prescott carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dak Prescott vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Dak Prescott and Kyler Murray is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Dallas Cowboys quarterback put up 18.5 PPG in 2025 over 17 games; Kyler Murray of the Arizona Cardinals averaged 15.6 in 5. A 2.9-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.9 points favors Dak Prescott, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Dak Prescott threw for 4552 yards and 30 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Both share a Week 14 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking quarterbacks this deep on your bench, plan your replacement quarterback early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dak Prescott (age 32) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Dak Prescott outscored Kyler Murray by a projected 49 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dak Prescott played 17 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Dak Prescott contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dak Prescott scored 32 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Kyler Murray is 4 years younger than Dak Prescott (28 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
  • Both players share a Week 14 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dak Prescott vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDak PrescottKyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)18.515.6
Games Played175
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)31578
Passing Yards4,552962
Passing TDs306
Pass Yds/Game267.8192.4
Rushing Yards177173
Rushing TDs21
Total TDs327
TDs/Game1.91.4
Age3228
Experience9 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 14

Summary

18.5 PPG for Dak Prescott versus 15.6 for Kyler Murray in 2025. The baseline favors Dak Prescott, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dak Prescott or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dak Prescott has the edge at 18.5 PPG compared to Kyler Murray's 15.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dak Prescott and Kyler Murray average in 2025?

Dak Prescott averaged 18.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 2.9 points per game.

Do Dak Prescott and Kyler Murray share a bye week?

Yes, both Dak Prescott and Kyler Murray share a Week 14 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Dak Prescott or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Dak Prescott outscored Kyler Murray by 2.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.