Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Daniel Jones vs Davis MillsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Daniel Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.4 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Daniel Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

Daniel Jones is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 17.4 PPG and 3,265 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Daniel Jones as the starter and Davis Mills as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBIndianapolis Colts#13PPG LEADER

Daniel Jones

PPG

17.4

Games

Pass Yds

3,101

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

164

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 13

QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Daniel Jones

Davis Mills

Head to Head

17.4 PPG11.4 PPG

13 GP6 GP

Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Daniel Jones: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #13 at the position). Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Daniel Jones is producing at 79% of elite pace and Davis Mills at 52%. That ranking gap means Daniel Jones carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Daniel Jones vs Davis Mills: The Full Breakdown

Daniel Jones and Davis Mills are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Daniel Jones averaged 17.4 PPG across 13 games with the Indianapolis Colts, while Davis Mills posted 11.4 PPG in 6 appearances for the Houston Texans.

A 6.0-PPG gap gives Daniel Jones the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Daniel Jones threw for 3101 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Davis Mills posted 915 yards and 5 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Daniel Jones sits Week 13 while Davis Mills is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Daniel Jones at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Daniel Jones (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Daniel Jones outscored Davis Mills by a projected 102 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Daniel Jones played 13 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Daniel Jones contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Daniel Jones scored 24 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Daniel Jones vs Davis Mills: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Daniel Jones	Davis Mills
PPG (Half-PPR)	17.4	11.4
Games Played	13	6
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	226	68
Passing Yards	3,101	915
Passing TDs	19	5
Pass Yds/Game	238.5	152.5
Rushing Yards	164	60
Rushing TDs	5	1
Total TDs	24	6
TDs/Game	1.8	1.0
Age	29	27
Experience	6 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 13	Week 8

Summary

Daniel Jones outscored Davis Mills by 6.0 PPG in 2025 (17.4 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Daniel Jones or Davis Mills in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Daniel Jones has the edge at 17.4 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Daniel Jones and Davis Mills average in 2025?▾

Daniel Jones averaged 17.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG over 6 games. That is a difference of 6.0 points per game.

When are Daniel Jones and Davis Mills's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Daniel Jones (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Daniel Jones or Davis Mills a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Daniel Jones outscored Davis Mills by 6.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.