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Head to Head

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Daniel Jones vs Josh AllenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Josh Allen is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 22.8 PPG to Daniel Jones's 17.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 22.8 PPG and 4,247 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Daniel Jones (17.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Josh Allen as the starter and Daniel Jones as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBIndianapolis Colts#13
Daniel Jones
PPG
17.4
Games
13
Pass Yds
3,101
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
164
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 13
QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Daniel Jones
Josh Allen

Head to Head

17.4 PPG22.8 PPG
13 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Daniel Jones: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #13 at the position). Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Daniel Jones is producing at 79% of elite pace and Josh Allen at 104%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Daniel Jones vs Josh Allen: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Daniel Jones (Indianapolis Colts) finished the 2025 season averaging 17.4 fantasy points per game in 13 games. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) came in at 22.8 PPG over 16 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Josh Allen carries a 5.4-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Daniel Jones (3101 passing yards, 19 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One scheduling note: Daniel Jones is off Week 13 and Josh Allen Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Josh Allen at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Daniel Jones is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Daniel Jones (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Josh Allen (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored Daniel Jones by a projected 92 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Daniel Jones's 13. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Daniel Jones vs Josh Allen: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDaniel JonesJosh Allen
PPG (Half-PPR)17.422.8
Games Played1316
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)226365
Passing Yards3,1013,668
Passing TDs1925
Pass Yds/Game238.5229.3
Rushing Yards164579
Rushing TDs514
Total TDs2439
TDs/Game1.82.4
Age2930
Experience6 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Josh Allen holds the PPG edge with elite output at 22.8 points per game. Daniel Jones averaged 17.4 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Daniel Jones or Josh Allen in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Daniel Jones's 17.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Daniel Jones and Josh Allen average in 2025?

Daniel Jones averaged 17.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Josh Allen averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 5.4 points per game.

When are Daniel Jones and Josh Allen's bye weeks in 2026?

Daniel Jones (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Daniel Jones or Josh Allen a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored Daniel Jones by 5.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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