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Daniel Jones vs Gardner MinshewWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Daniel Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.4 PPG to Gardner Minshew's 12.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Daniel Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

Daniel Jones has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 5.0-PPG advantage is real (17.4 to 12.4), and Daniel Jones's 24 touchdowns show scoring upside. Gardner Minshew is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBIndianapolis Colts#13PPG LEADER
Daniel Jones
PPG
17.4
Games
13
Pass Yds
3,101
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
164
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 13
QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Gardner Minshew
PPG
12.4
Games
12
Pass Yds
2,420
Pass TDs
14
Rush Yds
125
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Daniel Jones
Gardner Minshew

Head to Head

17.4 PPG12.4 PPG
13 GP12 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Daniel Jones: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #13 at the position). Gardner Minshew: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Daniel Jones is producing at 79% of elite pace and Gardner Minshew at 56%. That ranking gap means Daniel Jones carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Daniel Jones vs Gardner Minshew: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Daniel Jones (Indianapolis Colts) finished the 2025 season averaging 17.4 fantasy points per game in 13 games. Gardner Minshew (Las Vegas Raiders) came in at 12.4 PPG over 12 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Daniel Jones carries a 5.0-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Daniel Jones threw for 3101 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Gardner Minshew posted 2420 yards and 14 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Daniel Jones is off Week 13 and Gardner Minshew Week 10. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Daniel Jones at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Gardner Minshew is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Daniel Jones (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Gardner Minshew (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Daniel Jones outscored Gardner Minshew by a projected 85 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Daniel Jones played 13 games in 2025 compared to Gardner Minshew's 12. That durability gap means Daniel Jones contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Daniel Jones scored 24 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Daniel Jones vs Gardner Minshew: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDaniel JonesGardner Minshew
PPG (Half-PPR)17.412.4
Games Played1312
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)226149
Passing Yards3,1012,420
Passing TDs1914
Pass Yds/Game238.5201.7
Rushing Yards164125
Rushing TDs51
Total TDs2415
TDs/Game1.81.3
Age29-
Experience6 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Daniel Jones holds the PPG edge with solid output at 17.4 points per game. Gardner Minshew averaged 12.4 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Daniel Jones or Gardner Minshew in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Daniel Jones has the edge at 17.4 PPG compared to Gardner Minshew's 12.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Daniel Jones and Gardner Minshew average in 2025?

Daniel Jones averaged 17.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Gardner Minshew averaged 12.4 PPG over 12 games. That is a difference of 5.0 points per game.

When are Daniel Jones and Gardner Minshew's bye weeks in 2026?

Daniel Jones (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Gardner Minshew (LV) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Daniel Jones or Gardner Minshew a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Daniel Jones outscored Gardner Minshew by 5.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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