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Head to Head

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Daniel Jones vs Joe BurrowWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Daniel Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.4 PPG to Joe Burrow's 16.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Daniel Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Daniel Jones and Joe Burrow are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.6-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBIndianapolis Colts#13PPG LEADER
Daniel Jones
PPG
17.4
Games
13
Pass Yds
3,101
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
164
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 13
QBCincinnati Bengals#15
Joe Burrow
PPG
16.8
Games
8
Pass Yds
1,809
Pass TDs
17
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Daniel Jones
Joe Burrow

Head to Head

17.4 PPG16.8 PPG
13 GP8 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Daniel Jones: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #13 at the position). Joe Burrow: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #15 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Daniel Jones is producing at 79% of elite pace and Joe Burrow at 76%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Daniel Jones vs Joe Burrow: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Daniel Jones finished the 2025 season at 17.4 PPG over 13 games with the Indianapolis Colts, while Joe Burrow clocked in at 16.8 across 8 appearances for the Cincinnati Bengals. A 0.6-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Daniel Jones threw for 3101 yards and 19 touchdowns, while Joe Burrow posted 1809 yards and 17 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Daniel Jones is off Week 13 and Joe Burrow Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Daniel Jones (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Joe Burrow (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Daniel Jones outscored Joe Burrow by a projected 10 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Daniel Jones played 13 games in 2025 compared to Joe Burrow's 8. That durability gap means Daniel Jones contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Daniel Jones scored 24 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Daniel Jones vs Joe Burrow: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDaniel JonesJoe Burrow
PPG (Half-PPR)17.416.8
Games Played138
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)226134
Passing Yards3,1011,809
Passing TDs1917
Pass Yds/Game238.5226.1
Rushing Yards16441
Rushing TDs50
Total TDs2417
TDs/Game1.82.1
Age2929
Experience6 yrs5 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 6

Summary

17.4 PPG for Daniel Jones versus 16.8 for Joe Burrow in 2025. The baseline favors Daniel Jones, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Daniel Jones or Joe Burrow in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Daniel Jones has the edge at 17.4 PPG compared to Joe Burrow's 16.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Daniel Jones and Joe Burrow average in 2025?

Daniel Jones averaged 17.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Joe Burrow averaged 16.8 PPG over 8 games. That is a difference of 0.6 points per game.

When are Daniel Jones and Joe Burrow's bye weeks in 2026?

Daniel Jones (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Joe Burrow (CIN) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Daniel Jones or Joe Burrow a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Daniel Jones outscored Joe Burrow by 0.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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