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Head to Head

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David Montgomery vs Nick ChubbWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

David Montgomery is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.1 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

David Montgomery is the better fantasy play this season.

David Montgomery has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.6-PPG advantage is real (9.1 to 5.5), and David Montgomery's 9 touchdowns show scoring upside. Nick Chubb is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBDetroit Lions#33PPG LEADER
David Montgomery
PPG
9.1
Games
17
Rush Yds
716
Rush TDs
8
Rec
24
Rec Yds
192
Bye
Week 6
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
David Montgomery
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

9.1 PPG5.5 PPG
17 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

David Montgomery: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) RB (ranked #33 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, David Montgomery is producing at 41% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means David Montgomery carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

David Montgomery vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

Two running backs who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. David Montgomery (Detroit Lions) finished the 2025 season averaging 9.1 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Nick Chubb (Houston Texans) came in at 5.5 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

David Montgomery carries a 3.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. David Montgomery ran for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

David Montgomery has his bye in Week 6, and Nick Chubb rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at running back for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire David Montgomery at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Nick Chubb is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: David Montgomery (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • David Montgomery outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 61 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • David Montgomery played 17 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means David Montgomery contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • David Montgomery scored 9 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

David Montgomery vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavid MontgomeryNick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)9.15.5
Games Played1715
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)15583
Rushing Yards716506
Rush Yds/Game42.133.7
Rushing TDs83
Receptions2413
Receiving Yards19267
Targets2920
Total TDs93
Age2830
Experience6 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, David Montgomery holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 9.1 points per game. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start David Montgomery or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, David Montgomery has the edge at 9.1 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did David Montgomery and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

David Montgomery averaged 9.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.6 points per game.

When are David Montgomery and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

David Montgomery (DET) has a bye in Week 6, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is David Montgomery or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

David Montgomery outscored Nick Chubb by 3.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.