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Head to Head

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Dawson Knox vs Hunter HenryWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Hunter Henry is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.8 PPG to Dawson Knox's 5.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Hunter Henry is the better fantasy play this season.

Hunter Henry has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.4-PPG advantage is real (8.8 to 5.4), and Hunter Henry's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Dawson Knox is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEBuffalo Bills#33
Dawson Knox
PPG
5.4
Games
16
Rec
36
Rec Yds
417
Rec TDs
4
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7
TENew England Patriots#13PPG LEADER
Hunter Henry
PPG
8.8
Games
17
Rec
60
Rec Yds
768
Rec TDs
7
Targets
87
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dawson Knox
Hunter Henry

Head to Head

5.4 PPG8.8 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Dawson Knox: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #33 at the position). Hunter Henry: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #13 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dawson Knox is producing at 25% of elite pace and Hunter Henry at 40%. That ranking gap means Hunter Henry carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dawson Knox vs Hunter Henry: The Full Breakdown

Dawson Knox and Hunter Henry are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 PPG across 16 games with the Buffalo Bills, while Hunter Henry posted 8.8 PPG in 17 appearances for the New England Patriots.

A 3.4-PPG gap gives Hunter Henry the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Hunter Henry is the volume tight end in this matchup with 60 receptions for 768 yards, while Dawson Knox profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (4 scores on 36 catches). In weeks where Dawson Knox finds the end zone he out-scores Hunter Henry, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Dawson Knox sits Week 7 while Hunter Henry is off Week 11. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Hunter Henry at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Dawson Knox is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Dawson Knox (age 29) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Hunter Henry (age 31) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Hunter Henry outscored Dawson Knox by a projected 58 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Hunter Henry played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dawson Knox's 16. That durability gap means Hunter Henry contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Hunter Henry scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Hunter Henry saw 87 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dawson Knox vs Hunter Henry: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDawson KnoxHunter Henry
PPG (Half-PPR)5.48.8
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)86150
Receptions3660
Rec/Game2.33.5
Receiving Yards417768
Rec Yds/Game26.145.2
Receiving TDs47
Targets4987
Target Share/Game3.15.1
Age2931
Experience6 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 11

Summary

Hunter Henry outscored Dawson Knox by 3.4 PPG in 2025 (8.8 to 5.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dawson Knox or Hunter Henry in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Hunter Henry has the edge at 8.8 PPG compared to Dawson Knox's 5.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dawson Knox and Hunter Henry average in 2025?

Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Hunter Henry averaged 8.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.4 points per game.

When are Dawson Knox and Hunter Henry's bye weeks in 2026?

Dawson Knox (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Hunter Henry (NE) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dawson Knox or Hunter Henry a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Hunter Henry outscored Dawson Knox by 3.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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