DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Dawson Knox vs Isaiah LikelyWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dawson Knox is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 5.4 PPG to Isaiah Likely's 3.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dawson Knox is the better fantasy play this season.

Dawson Knox is the better play on a neutral week. 5.4 PPG with 417 yards gives a reliable baseline. Isaiah Likely at 3.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Dawson Knox higher, but do not fade Isaiah Likely entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Dawson Knox and Isaiah Likely in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App
TEBuffalo Bills#33PPG LEADER
Dawson Knox
PPG
5.4
Games
16
Rec
36
Rec Yds
417
Rec TDs
4
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7
TENew York Giants#99
Isaiah Likely
PPG
3.4
Games
14
Rec
27
Rec Yds
307
Rec TDs
1
Targets
36
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dawson Knox
Isaiah Likely

Head to Head

5.4 PPG3.4 PPG
16 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Dawson Knox: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #33 at the position). Isaiah Likely: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dawson Knox is producing at 25% of elite pace and Isaiah Likely at 15%. That ranking gap means Dawson Knox carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dawson Knox vs Isaiah Likely: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Dawson Knox and Isaiah Likely is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Buffalo Bills tight end put up 5.4 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Isaiah Likely of the New York Giants averaged 3.4 in 14. A 2.0-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.0 points favors Dawson Knox, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one tight end to the other.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dawson Knox had 36 catches for 417 yards; Isaiah Likely posted 27 for 307. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Dawson Knox has his bye in Week 7, and Isaiah Likely rests in Week 11. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dawson Knox (age 29) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Isaiah Likely (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Dawson Knox outscored Isaiah Likely by a projected 34 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dawson Knox played 16 games in 2025 compared to Isaiah Likely's 14. That durability gap means Dawson Knox contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dawson Knox scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Dawson Knox saw 49 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dawson Knox vs Isaiah Likely: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDawson KnoxIsaiah Likely
PPG (Half-PPR)5.43.4
Games Played1614
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)8648
Receptions3627
Rec/Game2.31.9
Receiving Yards417307
Rec Yds/Game26.121.9
Receiving TDs41
Targets4936
Target Share/Game3.12.6
Age2926
Experience6 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 11

Summary

5.4 PPG for Dawson Knox versus 3.4 for Isaiah Likely in 2025. The baseline favors Dawson Knox, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Dawson Knox vs Isaiah Likely

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Dawson Knox vs Isaiah Likely

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dawson Knox or Isaiah Likely in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dawson Knox has the edge at 5.4 PPG compared to Isaiah Likely's 3.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dawson Knox and Isaiah Likely average in 2025?

Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Isaiah Likely averaged 3.4 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 2.0 points per game.

When are Dawson Knox and Isaiah Likely's bye weeks in 2026?

Dawson Knox (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Isaiah Likely (NYG) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dawson Knox or Isaiah Likely a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dawson Knox outscored Isaiah Likely by 2.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

Fantasy Managers Also Compared

Similar matchups other managers are researching right now.