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Head to Head

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Dawson Knox vs Tyler WarrenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Dawson Knox's 5.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

Tyler Warren is the better play on a neutral week. 8.9 PPG with 825 yards gives a reliable baseline. Dawson Knox at 5.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Tyler Warren higher, but do not fade Dawson Knox entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEBuffalo Bills#33
Dawson Knox
PPG
5.4
Games
16
Rec
36
Rec Yds
417
Rec TDs
4
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7
TEIndianapolis Colts#12PPG LEADER
Tyler Warren
PPG
8.9
Games
17
Rec
76
Rec Yds
817
Rec TDs
4
Targets
112
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dawson Knox
Tyler Warren

Head to Head

5.4 PPG8.9 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Dawson Knox: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #33 at the position). Tyler Warren: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #12 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dawson Knox is producing at 25% of elite pace and Tyler Warren at 40%. That ranking gap means Tyler Warren carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dawson Knox vs Tyler Warren: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Dawson Knox and Tyler Warren is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Buffalo Bills tight end put up 5.4 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Tyler Warren of the Indianapolis Colts averaged 8.9 in 17. A 3.5-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 3.5 points favors Tyler Warren, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one tight end to the other.

Tyler Warren is the volume tight end in this matchup with 76 receptions for 817 yards, while Dawson Knox profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (4 scores on 36 catches). In weeks where Dawson Knox finds the end zone he out-scores Tyler Warren, but the floor gap is real.

Dawson Knox has his bye in Week 7, and Tyler Warren rests in Week 13. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Tyler Warren is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Dawson Knox is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Dawson Knox (age 29) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Warren (age 24) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Tyler Warren outscored Dawson Knox by a projected 60 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tyler Warren played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dawson Knox's 16. That durability gap means Tyler Warren contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Tyler Warren scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Tyler Warren saw 112 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Tyler Warren is 5 years younger than Dawson Knox (24 vs 29), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dawson Knox vs Tyler Warren: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDawson KnoxTyler Warren
PPG (Half-PPR)5.48.9
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)86151
Receptions3676
Rec/Game2.34.5
Receiving Yards417817
Rec Yds/Game26.148.1
Receiving TDs44
Targets49112
Target Share/Game3.16.6
Age2924
Experience6 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 13

Summary

8.9 PPG for Tyler Warren versus 5.4 for Dawson Knox in 2025. The baseline favors Tyler Warren, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dawson Knox or Tyler Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Warren has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Dawson Knox's 5.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dawson Knox and Tyler Warren average in 2025?

Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tyler Warren averaged 8.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.5 points per game.

When are Dawson Knox and Tyler Warren's bye weeks in 2026?

Dawson Knox (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Tyler Warren (IND) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dawson Knox or Tyler Warren a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Tyler Warren outscored Dawson Knox by 3.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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