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Head to Head

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Dylan Sampson vs Nick ChubbWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Nick Chubb is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 5.5 PPG to Dylan Sampson's 4.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Nick Chubb is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Nick Chubb edges Dylan Sampson by 0.8 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Nick Chubb goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBCleveland Browns#99
Dylan Sampson
PPG
4.7
Games
15
Rush Yds
175
Rec
33
Rec Yds
271
Bye
Week 10
RBHouston Texans#59PPG LEADER
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dylan Sampson
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

4.7 PPG5.5 PPG
15 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Dylan Sampson: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Dylan Sampson is producing at 21% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Nick Chubb carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dylan Sampson vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Dylan Sampson finished the 2025 season at 4.7 PPG over 15 games with the Cleveland Browns, while Nick Chubb clocked in at 5.5 across 15 appearances for the Houston Texans. A 0.8-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Dylan Sampson ran for 175 yards and undefined touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Dylan Sampson is off Week 10 and Nick Chubb Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dylan Sampson (age 21) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Nick Chubb outscored Dylan Sampson by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nick Chubb scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Dylan Sampson caught 33 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Dylan Sampson is 9 years younger than Nick Chubb (21 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dylan Sampson vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDylan SampsonNick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)4.75.5
Games Played1515
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)7183
Rushing Yards175506
Rush Yds/Game11.733.7
Rushing TDs03
Receptions3313
Receiving Yards27167
Targets4020
Total TDs23
Age2130
Experience1 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 8

Summary

Nick Chubb outscored Dylan Sampson by 0.8 PPG in 2025 (5.5 to 4.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dylan Sampson or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Nick Chubb has the edge at 5.5 PPG compared to Dylan Sampson's 4.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dylan Sampson and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

Dylan Sampson averaged 4.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

When are Dylan Sampson and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

Dylan Sampson (CLE) has a bye in Week 10, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dylan Sampson or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Nick Chubb outscored Dylan Sampson by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.