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Gardner Minshew vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.6 PPG to Gardner Minshew's 12.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy play this season.

Kyler Murray is the better play on a neutral week. 15.6 PPG with 1,135 yards gives a reliable baseline. Gardner Minshew at 12.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Kyler Murray higher, but do not fade Gardner Minshew entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Gardner Minshew
PPG
12.4
Games
12
Pass Yds
2,420
Pass TDs
14
Rush Yds
125
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10
QBArizona Cardinals#22PPG LEADER
Kyler Murray
PPG
15.6
Games
5
Pass Yds
962
Pass TDs
6
Rush Yds
173
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Gardner Minshew
Kyler Murray

Head to Head

12.4 PPG15.6 PPG
12 GP5 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Gardner Minshew: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Gardner Minshew is producing at 56% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Kyler Murray carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Gardner Minshew vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Gardner Minshew and Kyler Murray for your lineup, you are not alone. Gardner Minshew finished the 2025 season at 12.4 PPG for the Las Vegas Raiders (12 games), and Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 for the Arizona Cardinals (5 games).

That 3.2-point weekly advantage for Kyler Murray is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Gardner Minshew threw for 2420 yards and 14 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Gardner Minshew has his bye in Week 10, and Kyler Murray rests in Week 14. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Kyler Murray is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Gardner Minshew is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Gardner Minshew (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Kyler Murray outscored Gardner Minshew by a projected 54 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Gardner Minshew played 12 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Gardner Minshew contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Gardner Minshew scored 15 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Gardner Minshew vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGardner MinshewKyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)12.415.6
Games Played125
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)14978
Passing Yards2,420962
Passing TDs146
Pass Yds/Game201.7192.4
Rushing Yards125173
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs157
TDs/Game1.31.4
Age-28
Experience-6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Kyler Murray at 15.6 PPG, 3.2 points per game above Gardner Minshew's 12.4. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Gardner Minshew or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyler Murray has the edge at 15.6 PPG compared to Gardner Minshew's 12.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Gardner Minshew and Kyler Murray average in 2025?

Gardner Minshew averaged 12.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 3.2 points per game.

When are Gardner Minshew and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?

Gardner Minshew (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Gardner Minshew or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Kyler Murray outscored Gardner Minshew by 3.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.