Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Gardner Minshew vs Mac JonesWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Gardner Minshew is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.4 PPG to Mac Jones's 11.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Gardner Minshew is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Gardner Minshew edges Mac Jones by 0.6 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Gardner Minshew goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99PPG LEADER

Gardner Minshew

PPG

12.4

Games

Pass Yds

2,420

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

125

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBSan Francisco 49ers#33

Mac Jones

PPG

11.8

Games

Pass Yds

2,151

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Gardner Minshew

Mac Jones

Head to Head

12.4 PPG11.8 PPG

12 GP11 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Gardner Minshew: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Mac Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #33 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Gardner Minshew is producing at 56% of elite pace and Mac Jones at 54%. That ranking gap means Mac Jones carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Gardner Minshew vs Mac Jones: The Full Breakdown

Gardner Minshew (12.4 PPG) and Mac Jones (11.8 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Gardner Minshew played 12 games for the Las Vegas Raiders; Mac Jones suited up 11 times for the San Francisco 49ers.

A 0.6-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Gardner Minshew threw for 2420 yards and 14 touchdowns, while Mac Jones posted 2151 yards and 13 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Gardner Minshew sits Week 10 while Mac Jones is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Gardner Minshew (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Mac Jones (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Gardner Minshew outscored Mac Jones by a projected 10 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Gardner Minshew played 12 games in 2025 compared to Mac Jones's 11. That durability gap means Gardner Minshew contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Gardner Minshew scored 15 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Gardner Minshew vs Mac Jones: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Gardner Minshew	Mac Jones
PPG (Half-PPR)	12.4	11.8
Games Played	12	11
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	149	130
Passing Yards	2,420	2,151
Passing TDs	14	13
Pass Yds/Game	201.7	195.5
Rushing Yards	125	60
Rushing TDs	1	0
Total TDs	15	13
TDs/Game	1.3	1.2
Age	-	27
Experience	-	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Gardner Minshew holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.4 points per game. Mac Jones averaged 11.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Gardner Minshew or Mac Jones in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Gardner Minshew has the edge at 12.4 PPG compared to Mac Jones's 11.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Gardner Minshew and Mac Jones average in 2025?▾

Gardner Minshew averaged 12.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Mac Jones averaged 11.8 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 0.6 points per game.

When are Gardner Minshew and Mac Jones's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Gardner Minshew (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Mac Jones (SF) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Gardner Minshew or Mac Jones a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Gardner Minshew outscored Mac Jones by 0.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.