Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Garrett Wilson vs Luther Burden IIIWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Garrett Wilson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.6 PPG to Luther Burden III's 7.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Garrett Wilson is the better fantasy play this season.

Garrett Wilson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.6-PPG advantage is real (11.6 to 7.0), and Garrett Wilson's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luther Burden III is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRNew York Jets#16PPG LEADER

Garrett Wilson

PPG

11.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

395

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 13

WRChicago Bears#60

Luther Burden III

PPG

7.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

652

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Garrett Wilson

Luther Burden III

Head to Head

11.6 PPG7.0 PPG

7 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Garrett Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #16 at the position). Luther Burden III: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #60 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Garrett Wilson is producing at 53% of elite pace and Luther Burden III at 32%. That ranking gap means Garrett Wilson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Garrett Wilson vs Luther Burden III: The Full Breakdown

Garrett Wilson and Luther Burden III are both viable fantasy wide receivers heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 PPG across 7 games with the New York Jets, while Luther Burden III posted 7.0 PPG in 15 appearances for the Chicago Bears.

A 4.6-PPG gap gives Garrett Wilson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Garrett Wilson turned 59 targets into 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, while Luther Burden III converted 60 looks into 652 yards and 2 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Garrett Wilson sits Week 13 while Luther Burden III is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Garrett Wilson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Luther Burden III is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Garrett Wilson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Luther Burden III (age 22) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Garrett Wilson outscored Luther Burden III by a projected 78 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Luther Burden III played 15 games in 2025 compared to Garrett Wilson's 7. That durability gap means Luther Burden III contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Garrett Wilson scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Luther Burden III saw 60 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Garrett Wilson vs Luther Burden III: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Garrett Wilson	Luther Burden III
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.6	7.0
Games Played	7	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	81	105
Receptions	36	47
Rec/Game	5.1	3.1
Receiving Yards	395	652
Rec Yds/Game	56.4	43.5
Receiving TDs	4	2
Targets	59	60
Target Share/Game	8.4	4.0
Age	25	22
Experience	3 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 13	Week 10

Summary

Garrett Wilson outscored Luther Burden III by 4.6 PPG in 2025 (11.6 to 7.0). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Garrett Wilson or Luther Burden III in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Garrett Wilson has the edge at 11.6 PPG compared to Luther Burden III's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Garrett Wilson and Luther Burden III average in 2025?▾

Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 7 games in 2025. Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 4.6 points per game.

When are Garrett Wilson and Luther Burden III's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Garrett Wilson (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13, and Luther Burden III (CHI) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Garrett Wilson or Luther Burden III a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Garrett Wilson outscored Luther Burden III by 4.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.