Garrett Wilson vs Zay Flowers: The Full Breakdown
This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Garrett Wilson finished the 2025 season at 11.6 PPG over 7 games with the New York Jets, while Zay Flowers clocked in at 11.8 across 17 appearances for the Baltimore Ravens. A 0.2-point gap means any given week could go either way.
With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.
Target volume is the story here. Zay Flowers saw 118 targets in 2025, while Garrett Wilson drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Zay Flowers, even in weeks where Garrett Wilson posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.
Both share a Week 13 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking wide receivers this deep on your bench, plan your replacement wide receiver early.
