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Head to Head

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Garrett Wilson vs Zay FlowersWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Zay Flowers is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.8 PPG to Garrett Wilson's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Zay Flowers is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Zay Flowers and Garrett Wilson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRNew York Jets#16
Garrett Wilson
PPG
11.6
Games
7
Rec
36
Rec Yds
395
Rec TDs
4
Targets
59
Bye
Week 13
WRBaltimore Ravens#15PPG LEADER
Zay Flowers
PPG
11.8
Games
17
Rec
86
Rec Yds
1,211
Rec TDs
5
Targets
118
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Garrett Wilson
Zay Flowers

Head to Head

11.6 PPG11.8 PPG
7 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Garrett Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #16 at the position). Zay Flowers: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #15 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Garrett Wilson is producing at 53% of elite pace and Zay Flowers at 54%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Garrett Wilson vs Zay Flowers: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Garrett Wilson finished the 2025 season at 11.6 PPG over 7 games with the New York Jets, while Zay Flowers clocked in at 11.8 across 17 appearances for the Baltimore Ravens. A 0.2-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Target volume is the story here. Zay Flowers saw 118 targets in 2025, while Garrett Wilson drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Zay Flowers, even in weeks where Garrett Wilson posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Both share a Week 13 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking wide receivers this deep on your bench, plan your replacement wide receiver early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Garrett Wilson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Zay Flowers (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Zay Flowers outscored Garrett Wilson by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Zay Flowers played 17 games in 2025 compared to Garrett Wilson's 7. That durability gap means Zay Flowers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Zay Flowers scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Zay Flowers saw 118 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Both players share a Week 13 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Garrett Wilson vs Zay Flowers: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGarrett WilsonZay Flowers
PPG (Half-PPR)11.611.8
Games Played717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)81201
Receptions3686
Rec/Game5.15.1
Receiving Yards3951,211
Rec Yds/Game56.471.2
Receiving TDs45
Targets59118
Target Share/Game8.46.9
Age2525
Experience3 yrs2 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 13

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Zay Flowers at 11.8 PPG, 0.2 points per game above Garrett Wilson's 11.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Garrett Wilson or Zay Flowers in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Zay Flowers has the edge at 11.8 PPG compared to Garrett Wilson's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Garrett Wilson and Zay Flowers average in 2025?

Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 7 games in 2025. Zay Flowers averaged 11.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

Do Garrett Wilson and Zay Flowers share a bye week?

Yes, both Garrett Wilson and Zay Flowers share a Week 13 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at wide receiver for that week.

Is Garrett Wilson or Zay Flowers a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Zay Flowers outscored Garrett Wilson by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.