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Head to Head

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Garrett Wilson vs Nico CollinsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Nico Collins is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.7 PPG to Garrett Wilson's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Nico Collins is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Nico Collins edges Garrett Wilson by 1.1 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Nico Collins goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRNew York Jets#16
Garrett Wilson
PPG
11.6
Games
7
Rec
36
Rec Yds
395
Rec TDs
4
Targets
59
Bye
Week 13
WRHouston Texans#10PPG LEADER
Nico Collins
PPG
12.7
Games
15
Rec
71
Rec Yds
1,117
Rec TDs
6
Targets
120
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Garrett Wilson
Nico Collins

Head to Head

11.6 PPG12.7 PPG
7 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Garrett Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #16 at the position). Nico Collins: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) WR (ranked #10 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Garrett Wilson is producing at 53% of elite pace and Nico Collins at 58%. That ranking gap means Nico Collins carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Garrett Wilson vs Nico Collins: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Garrett Wilson finished the 2025 season at 11.6 PPG over 7 games with the New York Jets, while Nico Collins clocked in at 12.7 across 15 appearances for the Houston Texans. A 1.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Target volume is the story here. Nico Collins saw 120 targets in 2025, while Garrett Wilson drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Nico Collins, even in weeks where Garrett Wilson posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: Garrett Wilson is off Week 13 and Nico Collins Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Garrett Wilson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Nico Collins (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Nico Collins outscored Garrett Wilson by a projected 19 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nico Collins played 15 games in 2025 compared to Garrett Wilson's 7. That durability gap means Nico Collins contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Nico Collins scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Nico Collins saw 120 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Garrett Wilson vs Nico Collins: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGarrett WilsonNico Collins
PPG (Half-PPR)11.612.7
Games Played715
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)81191
Receptions3671
Rec/Game5.14.7
Receiving Yards3951,117
Rec Yds/Game56.474.5
Receiving TDs46
Targets59120
Target Share/Game8.48.0
Age2527
Experience3 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Nico Collins holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.7 points per game. Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Garrett Wilson or Nico Collins in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Nico Collins has the edge at 12.7 PPG compared to Garrett Wilson's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Garrett Wilson and Nico Collins average in 2025?

Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 7 games in 2025. Nico Collins averaged 12.7 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.1 points per game.

When are Garrett Wilson and Nico Collins's bye weeks in 2026?

Garrett Wilson (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13, and Nico Collins (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Garrett Wilson or Nico Collins a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Nico Collins outscored Garrett Wilson by 1.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.