Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Browning vs Matthew StaffordWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Matthew Stafford is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 20.6 PPG to Jake Browning's 11.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Matthew Stafford is the better fantasy play this season.

Matthew Stafford is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 20.6 PPG and 4,708 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Jake Browning (11.3 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Matthew Stafford as the starter and Jake Browning as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#99

Jake Browning

PPG

11.3

Games

Pass Yds

771

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 11

QBLos Angeles Rams#3PPG LEADER

Matthew Stafford

PPG

20.6

Games

Pass Yds

4,707

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 11

The Edge Chart

Jake Browning

Matthew Stafford

Head to Head

11.3 PPG20.6 PPG

5 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Browning: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Matthew Stafford: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #3 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Jake Browning is producing at 51% of elite pace and Matthew Stafford at 94%. That ranking gap means Matthew Stafford carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Browning vs Matthew Stafford: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Jake Browning (Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 11.3 PPG) by 9.3 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

Matthew Stafford carries a 9.3-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Jake Browning threw for 771 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Matthew Stafford posted 4707 yards and 46 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 11 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Matthew Stafford at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Jake Browning is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jake Browning (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Matthew Stafford (age 38) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Matthew Stafford outscored Jake Browning by a projected 158 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Matthew Stafford played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jake Browning's 5. That durability gap means Matthew Stafford contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Matthew Stafford scored 46 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Jake Browning is 8 years younger than Matthew Stafford (30 vs 38), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
•Both players share a Week 11 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Browning vs Matthew Stafford: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Browning	Matthew Stafford
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.3	20.6
Games Played	5	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	57	350
Passing Yards	771	4,707
Passing TDs	6	46
Pass Yds/Game	154.2	276.9
Rushing Yards	39	1
Rushing TDs	1	0
Total TDs	7	46
TDs/Game	1.4	2.7
Age	30	38
Experience	7 yrs	16 yrs
Bye Week	Week 11	Week 11

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Matthew Stafford holds the PPG edge with strong output at 20.6 points per game. Jake Browning averaged 11.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Browning or Matthew Stafford in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Matthew Stafford has the edge at 20.6 PPG compared to Jake Browning's 11.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Browning and Matthew Stafford average in 2025?▾

Jake Browning averaged 11.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 5 games in 2025. Matthew Stafford averaged 20.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 9.3 points per game.

Do Jake Browning and Matthew Stafford share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Jake Browning and Matthew Stafford share a Week 11 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Jake Browning or Matthew Stafford a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Matthew Stafford outscored Jake Browning by 9.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.