Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Browning vs Patrick MahomesWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Patrick Mahomes is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 20.4 PPG to Jake Browning's 11.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Patrick Mahomes is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Patrick Mahomes outscored Jake Browning by 9.1 PPG in 2025 with 27 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Patrick Mahomes is the clear pick. Jake Browning profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#99

Jake Browning

PPG

11.3

Games

Pass Yds

771

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 11

QBKansas City Chiefs#4PPG LEADER

Patrick Mahomes

PPG

20.4

Games

Pass Yds

3,587

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

422

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 5

The Edge Chart

Jake Browning

Patrick Mahomes

Head to Head

11.3 PPG20.4 PPG

5 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Browning: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Patrick Mahomes: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #4 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Jake Browning is producing at 51% of elite pace and Patrick Mahomes at 93%. That ranking gap means Patrick Mahomes carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Browning vs Patrick Mahomes: The Full Breakdown

Patrick Mahomes and Jake Browning are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback averaged 20.4 PPG in 2025, a full 9.1 points per game ahead of Jake Browning's 11.3 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

The per-game difference of 9.1 points favors Patrick Mahomes, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Patrick Mahomes offers meaningful rushing upside with 422 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Jake Browning (771 passing yards, 6 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Jake Browning has his bye in Week 11, and Patrick Mahomes rests in Week 5. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Patrick Mahomes is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Jake Browning is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Jake Browning (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Patrick Mahomes (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Patrick Mahomes outscored Jake Browning by a projected 155 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Patrick Mahomes played 14 games in 2025 compared to Jake Browning's 5. That durability gap means Patrick Mahomes contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Patrick Mahomes scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Patrick Mahomes added 422 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Browning vs Patrick Mahomes: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Browning	Patrick Mahomes
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.3	20.4
Games Played	5	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	57	286
Passing Yards	771	3,587
Passing TDs	6	22
Pass Yds/Game	154.2	256.2
Rushing Yards	39	422
Rushing TDs	1	5
Total TDs	7	27
TDs/Game	1.4	1.9
Age	30	30
Experience	7 yrs	8 yrs
Bye Week	Week 11	Week 5

Summary

20.4 PPG for Patrick Mahomes versus 11.3 for Jake Browning in 2025. The baseline favors Patrick Mahomes, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Browning or Patrick Mahomes in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Patrick Mahomes has the edge at 20.4 PPG compared to Jake Browning's 11.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Browning and Patrick Mahomes average in 2025?▾

Jake Browning averaged 11.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 5 games in 2025. Patrick Mahomes averaged 20.4 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 9.1 points per game.

When are Jake Browning and Patrick Mahomes's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jake Browning (TB) has a bye in Week 11, and Patrick Mahomes (KC) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Browning or Patrick Mahomes a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Patrick Mahomes outscored Jake Browning by 9.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.