Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Jaylen WarrenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.3 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

Cross-position decisions depend on league format. In half-PPR, Jaylen Warren (12.3 PPG) is the higher-floor play. Jake Ferguson (8.7 PPG) could win a specific week on touchdown variance. For FLEX spots, lean toward the player with the softer defensive matchup that week rather than defaulting to season averages.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14

Jake Ferguson

PPG

8.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

600

Rec TDs

Targets

102

Bye

Week 14

RBPittsburgh Steelers#18PPG LEADER

Jaylen Warren

PPG

12.3

Games

Rush Yds

958

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

333

Bye

Week 9

The Edge Chart

Jake Ferguson

Jaylen Warren

Head to Head

8.7 PPG12.3 PPG

17 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Comparing across positions, raw PPG is less useful than positional scarcity. A Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE is harder to replace on waivers than a Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB in most league formats.

Jake Ferguson vs Jaylen Warren: The Full Breakdown

Comparing Jake Ferguson (TE, Dallas Cowboys) against Jaylen Warren (RB, Pittsburgh Steelers) means weighing two different roles in your fantasy lineup. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG in 2025 over 17 games, while Jaylen Warren posted 12.3 PPG across 16 games.

Cross-position FLEX decisions cannot be made on PPG alone. Positional scarcity, matchup quality, floor versus ceiling, and league scoring format all shift the answer. A 14 PPG tight end in a thin TE week is often worth more than a 16 PPG receiver in a deep WR week, because the opportunity cost on the waiver wire is wildly different.

DraftCall's AI engine weighs all of these signals and returns a verdict with clear reasoning, so you are not cross-referencing four different rankings tabs on a Sunday morning.

Jake Ferguson has his bye in Week 14, Jaylen Warren in Week 9. Plan your FLEX rotation around those weeks, especially if either player is anchoring your roster.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jaylen Warren at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Jake Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

•Jaylen Warren outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 61 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jake Ferguson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jaylen Warren's 16. That durability gap means Jake Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Jaylen Warren: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Ferguson	Jaylen Warren
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.7	12.3
Games Played	17	16
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	148	197
Rushing Yards	1	958
Rush Yds/Game	0.1	59.9
Rushing TDs	0	6
Receptions	82	40
Receiving Yards	600	333
Targets	102	45
Total TDs	8	8
Age	27	27
Experience	3 yrs	3 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 9

Summary

Jaylen Warren outscored Jake Ferguson by 3.6 PPG in 2025 (12.3 to 8.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Jaylen Warren in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jaylen Warren has the edge at 12.3 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Jaylen Warren average in 2025?▾

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 3.6 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Jaylen Warren's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Jaylen Warren (PIT) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.