Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Trey McBrideWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Trey McBride is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.9 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Trey McBride is the better fantasy play this season.

Trey McBride is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 14.9 PPG and 1,239 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Jake Ferguson (8.7 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Trey McBride as the starter and Jake Ferguson as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14

Jake Ferguson

PPG

8.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

600

Rec TDs

Targets

102

Bye

Week 14

TEArizona Cardinals#1PPG LEADER

Trey McBride

PPG

14.9

Games

Rec

126

Rec Yds

1,239

Rec TDs

Targets

169

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Jake Ferguson

Trey McBride

Head to Head

8.7 PPG14.9 PPG

17 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Trey McBride: Tier 1 (Elite) TE (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Ferguson is producing at 40% of elite pace and Trey McBride at 68%. That ranking gap means Trey McBride carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Ferguson vs Trey McBride: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Trey McBride put up 14.9 fantasy points per game for the Arizona Cardinals in 2025, while Jake Ferguson managed 8.7 across 17 games with the Dallas Cowboys. A 6.2-point weekly edge is substantial at the tight end position.

Trey McBride carries a 6.2-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Trey McBride is the volume tight end in this matchup with 126 receptions for 1239 yards, while Jake Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (8 scores on 82 catches). In weeks where Jake Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores Trey McBride, but the floor gap is real.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 14 bye. That means you need a backup plan at tight end for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Trey McBride at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Jake Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Trey McBride (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Trey McBride outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 105 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Trey McBride scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Trey McBride saw 169 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Both players share a Week 14 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Trey McBride: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Ferguson	Trey McBride
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.7	14.9
Games Played	17	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	148	253
Receptions	82	126
Rec/Game	4.8	7.4
Receiving Yards	600	1,239
Rec Yds/Game	35.3	72.9
Receiving TDs	8	11
Targets	102	169
Target Share/Game	6.0	9.9
Age	27	26
Experience	3 yrs	3 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 14

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Trey McBride holds the PPG edge with solid output at 14.9 points per game. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Trey McBride in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Trey McBride has the edge at 14.9 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Trey McBride average in 2025?▾

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Trey McBride averaged 14.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 6.2 points per game.

Do Jake Ferguson and Trey McBride share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Jake Ferguson and Trey McBride share a Week 14 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at tight end for that week.

Is Jake Ferguson or Trey McBride a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Trey McBride outscored Jake Ferguson by 6.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.