Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Luke MusgraveWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jake Ferguson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.7 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jake Ferguson is the better fantasy play this season.

Jake Ferguson is the better play on a neutral week. 8.7 PPG with 601 yards gives a reliable baseline. Luke Musgrave at 4.8 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Jake Ferguson higher, but do not fade Luke Musgrave entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14PPG LEADER

Jake Ferguson

PPG

8.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

600

Rec TDs

Targets

102

Bye

Week 14

TEGreen Bay Packers#99

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Jake Ferguson

Luke Musgrave

Head to Head

8.7 PPG4.8 PPG

17 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Ferguson is producing at 40% of elite pace and Luke Musgrave at 22%. That ranking gap means Jake Ferguson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Ferguson vs Luke Musgrave: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Jake Ferguson and Luke Musgrave for your lineup, you are not alone. Jake Ferguson finished the 2025 season at 8.7 PPG for the Dallas Cowboys (17 games), and Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 for the Green Bay Packers (14 games).

That 3.9-point weekly advantage for Jake Ferguson is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Jake Ferguson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 82 receptions for 600 yards, while Luke Musgrave profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 30 catches). In weeks where Luke Musgrave finds the end zone he out-scores Jake Ferguson, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Jake Ferguson sits Week 14 while Luke Musgrave is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Jake Ferguson is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Luke Musgrave is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Jake Ferguson outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 66 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jake Ferguson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Luke Musgrave's 14. That durability gap means Jake Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Luke Musgrave: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Ferguson	Luke Musgrave
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.7	4.8
Games Played	17	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	148	67
Receptions	82	30
Rec/Game	4.8	2.1
Receiving Yards	600	335
Rec Yds/Game	35.3	23.9
Receiving TDs	8	2
Targets	102	42
Target Share/Game	6.0	3.0
Age	27	-
Experience	3 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 10

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Jake Ferguson at 8.7 PPG, 3.9 points per game above Luke Musgrave's 4.8. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Luke Musgrave in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jake Ferguson has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Luke Musgrave average in 2025?▾

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 3.9 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Luke Musgrave's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Ferguson or Luke Musgrave a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Jake Ferguson outscored Luke Musgrave by 3.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.