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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Michael WilsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Michael Wilson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Michael Wilson is the better fantasy play this season.

Cross-position decisions depend on league format. In half-PPR, Michael Wilson (10.7 PPG) is the higher-floor play. Jake Ferguson (8.7 PPG) could win a specific week on touchdown variance. For FLEX spots, lean toward the player with the softer defensive matchup that week rather than defaulting to season averages.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 14
WRArizona Cardinals#24PPG LEADER
Michael Wilson
PPG
10.7
Games
17
Rec
78
Rec Yds
1,006
Rec TDs
7
Targets
126
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jake Ferguson
Michael Wilson

Head to Head

8.7 PPG10.7 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Michael Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #24 at the position). Comparing across positions, raw PPG is less useful than positional scarcity. A Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE is harder to replace on waivers than a Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR in most league formats.

Jake Ferguson vs Michael Wilson: The Full Breakdown

Comparing Jake Ferguson (TE, Dallas Cowboys) against Michael Wilson (WR, Arizona Cardinals) means weighing two different roles in your fantasy lineup. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG in 2025 over 17 games, while Michael Wilson posted 10.7 PPG across 17 games.

Cross-position FLEX decisions cannot be made on PPG alone. Positional scarcity, matchup quality, floor versus ceiling, and league scoring format all shift the answer. A 14 PPG tight end in a thin TE week is often worth more than a 16 PPG receiver in a deep WR week, because the opportunity cost on the waiver wire is wildly different.

DraftCall's AI engine weighs all of these signals and returns a verdict with clear reasoning, so you are not cross-referencing four different rankings tabs on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Michael Wilson (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Michael Wilson outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 34 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Michael Wilson saw 126 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Both players share a Week 14 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Michael Wilson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJake FergusonMichael Wilson
PPG (Half-PPR)8.710.7
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)148182
Receptions8278
Rec/Game4.84.6
Receiving Yards6001,006
Rec Yds/Game35.359.2
Receiving TDs87
Targets102126
Target Share/Game6.07.4
Age2726
Experience3 yrs2 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 14

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Michael Wilson at 10.7 PPG, 2.0 points per game above Jake Ferguson's 8.7. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Michael Wilson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Michael Wilson has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Michael Wilson average in 2025?

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Michael Wilson averaged 10.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.0 points per game.

Do Jake Ferguson and Michael Wilson share a bye week?

Yes, both Jake Ferguson and Michael Wilson share a Week 14 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at tight end for that week.

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