Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Theo JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jake Ferguson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.7 PPG to Theo Johnson's 7.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jake Ferguson is the better fantasy play this season.

Jake Ferguson is the better play on a neutral week. 8.7 PPG with 601 yards gives a reliable baseline. Theo Johnson at 7.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Jake Ferguson higher, but do not fade Theo Johnson entirely.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14PPG LEADER

Jake Ferguson

PPG

8.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

600

Rec TDs

Targets

102

Bye

Week 14

TENew York Giants#24

Theo Johnson

PPG

7.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

528

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Jake Ferguson

Theo Johnson

Head to Head

8.7 PPG7.0 PPG

17 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Theo Johnson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Ferguson is producing at 40% of elite pace and Theo Johnson at 32%. That ranking gap means Jake Ferguson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Ferguson vs Theo Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Jake Ferguson and Theo Johnson is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Dallas Cowboys tight end put up 8.7 PPG in 2025 over 17 games; Theo Johnson of the New York Giants averaged 7.0 in 15. A 1.7-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 1.7 points favors Jake Ferguson, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one tight end to the other.

Jake Ferguson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 82 receptions for 600 yards, while Theo Johnson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (5 scores on 45 catches). In weeks where Theo Johnson finds the end zone he out-scores Jake Ferguson, but the floor gap is real.

Jake Ferguson has his bye in Week 14, and Theo Johnson rests in Week 8. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Theo Johnson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Jake Ferguson outscored Theo Johnson by a projected 29 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jake Ferguson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Theo Johnson's 15. That durability gap means Jake Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Theo Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Ferguson	Theo Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.7	7.0
Games Played	17	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	148	105
Receptions	82	45
Rec/Game	4.8	3.0
Receiving Yards	600	528
Rec Yds/Game	35.3	35.2
Receiving TDs	8	5
Targets	102	74
Target Share/Game	6.0	4.9
Age	27	25
Experience	3 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 8

Summary

8.7 PPG for Jake Ferguson versus 7.0 for Theo Johnson in 2025. The baseline favors Jake Ferguson, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Theo Johnson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jake Ferguson has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Theo Johnson's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Theo Johnson average in 2025?▾

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Theo Johnson averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.7 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Theo Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Theo Johnson (NYG) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Ferguson or Theo Johnson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Jake Ferguson outscored Theo Johnson by 1.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.