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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Tucker KraftWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tucker Kraft is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.6 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tucker Kraft is the better fantasy play this season.

Tucker Kraft has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.9-PPG advantage is real (12.6 to 8.7), and Tucker Kraft's 6 touchdowns show scoring upside. Jake Ferguson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 14
TEGreen Bay Packers#2PPG LEADER
Tucker Kraft
PPG
12.6
Games
8
Rec
32
Rec Yds
489
Rec TDs
6
Targets
44
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jake Ferguson
Tucker Kraft

Head to Head

8.7 PPG12.6 PPG
17 GP8 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Tucker Kraft: Tier 1 (Elite) TE (ranked #2 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Ferguson is producing at 40% of elite pace and Tucker Kraft at 57%. That ranking gap means Tucker Kraft carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Ferguson vs Tucker Kraft: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Jake Ferguson (Dallas Cowboys) finished the 2025 season averaging 8.7 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Tucker Kraft (Green Bay Packers) came in at 12.6 PPG over 8 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Tucker Kraft carries a 3.9-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Jake Ferguson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 82 receptions for 600 yards, while Tucker Kraft profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (6 scores on 32 catches). In weeks where Tucker Kraft finds the end zone he out-scores Jake Ferguson, but the floor gap is real.

Jake Ferguson has his bye in Week 14, and Tucker Kraft rests in Week 11. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Tucker Kraft at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Jake Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tucker Kraft (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Tucker Kraft outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 66 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tucker Kraft's 8. That durability gap means Jake Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Tucker Kraft: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJake FergusonTucker Kraft
PPG (Half-PPR)8.712.6
Games Played178
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)148101
Receptions8232
Rec/Game4.84.0
Receiving Yards600489
Rec Yds/Game35.361.1
Receiving TDs86
Targets10244
Target Share/Game6.05.5
Age2725
Experience3 yrs2 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 11

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tucker Kraft holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.6 points per game. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Tucker Kraft in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tucker Kraft has the edge at 12.6 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Tucker Kraft average in 2025?

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tucker Kraft averaged 12.6 PPG over 8 games. That is a difference of 3.9 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Tucker Kraft's bye weeks in 2026?

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Tucker Kraft (GB) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Ferguson or Tucker Kraft a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Tucker Kraft outscored Jake Ferguson by 3.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.