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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Tyreek HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyreek Hill is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.8 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyreek Hill is the better fantasy play this season.

Cross-position decisions depend on league format. In half-PPR, Tyreek Hill (10.8 PPG) is the higher-floor play. Jake Ferguson (8.7 PPG) could win a specific week on touchdown variance. For FLEX spots, lean toward the player with the softer defensive matchup that week rather than defaulting to season averages.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 14
WRMiami Dolphins#20PPG LEADER
Tyreek Hill
PPG
10.8
Games
4
Rec
21
Rec Yds
265
Rec TDs
1
Targets
29
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jake Ferguson
Tyreek Hill

Head to Head

8.7 PPG10.8 PPG
17 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Tyreek Hill: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #20 at the position). Comparing across positions, raw PPG is less useful than positional scarcity. A Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE is harder to replace on waivers than a Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR in most league formats.

Jake Ferguson vs Tyreek Hill: The Full Breakdown

Comparing Jake Ferguson (TE, Dallas Cowboys) against Tyreek Hill (WR, Miami Dolphins) means weighing two different roles in your fantasy lineup. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG in 2025 over 17 games, while Tyreek Hill posted 10.8 PPG across 4 games.

Cross-position FLEX decisions cannot be made on PPG alone. Positional scarcity, matchup quality, floor versus ceiling, and league scoring format all shift the answer. A 14 PPG tight end in a thin TE week is often worth more than a 16 PPG receiver in a deep WR week, because the opportunity cost on the waiver wire is wildly different.

DraftCall's AI engine weighs all of these signals and returns a verdict with clear reasoning, so you are not cross-referencing four different rankings tabs on a Sunday morning.

Jake Ferguson has his bye in Week 14, Tyreek Hill in Week 6. Plan your FLEX rotation around those weeks, especially if either player is anchoring your roster.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyreek Hill (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Tyreek Hill outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 36 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tyreek Hill's 4. That durability gap means Jake Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Jake Ferguson is 5 years younger than Tyreek Hill (27 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Tyreek Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJake FergusonTyreek Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)8.710.8
Games Played174
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)14843
Receptions8221
Rec/Game4.85.3
Receiving Yards600265
Rec Yds/Game35.366.3
Receiving TDs81
Targets10229
Target Share/Game6.07.3
Age2732
Experience3 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 6

Summary

10.8 PPG for Tyreek Hill versus 8.7 for Jake Ferguson in 2025. The baseline favors Tyreek Hill, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Tyreek Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyreek Hill has the edge at 10.8 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Tyreek Hill average in 2025?

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tyreek Hill averaged 10.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 2.1 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Tyreek Hill's bye weeks in 2026?

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Tyreek Hill (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

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