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Head to Head

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Jameis Winston vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.6 PPG to Jameis Winston's 10.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy play this season.

Kyler Murray has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.7-PPG advantage is real (15.6 to 10.9), and Kyler Murray's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Jameis Winston is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBCleveland Browns#99
Jameis Winston
PPG
10.9
Games
10
Pass Yds
2,125
Pass TDs
13
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10
QBArizona Cardinals#22PPG LEADER
Kyler Murray
PPG
15.6
Games
5
Pass Yds
962
Pass TDs
6
Rush Yds
173
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jameis Winston
Kyler Murray

Head to Head

10.9 PPG15.6 PPG
10 GP5 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Jameis Winston: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Jameis Winston is producing at 50% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Kyler Murray carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jameis Winston vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Jameis Winston (Cleveland Browns) finished the 2025 season averaging 10.9 fantasy points per game in 10 games. Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals) came in at 15.6 PPG over 5 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Kyler Murray carries a 4.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Jameis Winston threw for 2125 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Jameis Winston sits Week 10 while Kyler Murray is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Kyler Murray at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Jameis Winston is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jameis Winston (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Kyler Murray outscored Jameis Winston by a projected 80 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jameis Winston played 10 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Jameis Winston contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jameis Winston scored 14 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jameis Winston vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJameis WinstonKyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)10.915.6
Games Played105
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)10978
Passing Yards2,125962
Passing TDs136
Pass Yds/Game212.5192.4
Rushing Yards45173
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs147
TDs/Game1.41.4
Age-28
Experience-6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Kyler Murray holds the PPG edge with solid output at 15.6 points per game. Jameis Winston averaged 10.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jameis Winston or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyler Murray has the edge at 15.6 PPG compared to Jameis Winston's 10.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jameis Winston and Kyler Murray average in 2025?

Jameis Winston averaged 10.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 10 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 4.7 points per game.

When are Jameis Winston and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?

Jameis Winston (CLE) has a bye in Week 10, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jameis Winston or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Kyler Murray outscored Jameis Winston by 4.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.