Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jameis Winston vs Tua TagovailoaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tua Tagovailoa is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.5 PPG to Jameis Winston's 10.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tua Tagovailoa is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Tua Tagovailoa edges Jameis Winston by 0.6 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Tua Tagovailoa goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBCleveland Browns#99

Jameis Winston

PPG

10.9

Games

Pass Yds

2,125

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBMiami Dolphins#35PPG LEADER

Tua Tagovailoa

PPG

11.5

Games

Pass Yds

2,660

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Jameis Winston

Tua Tagovailoa

Head to Head

10.9 PPG11.5 PPG

10 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Jameis Winston: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Tua Tagovailoa: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #35 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Jameis Winston is producing at 50% of elite pace and Tua Tagovailoa at 52%. That ranking gap means Tua Tagovailoa carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jameis Winston vs Tua Tagovailoa: The Full Breakdown

Jameis Winston (10.9 PPG) and Tua Tagovailoa (11.5 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Jameis Winston played 10 games for the Cleveland Browns; Tua Tagovailoa suited up 14 times for the Miami Dolphins.

A 0.6-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Jameis Winston threw for 2125 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Tua Tagovailoa posted 2660 yards and 20 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Jameis Winston sits Week 10 while Tua Tagovailoa is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jameis Winston (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tua Tagovailoa (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Tua Tagovailoa outscored Jameis Winston by a projected 10 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Tua Tagovailoa played 14 games in 2025 compared to Jameis Winston's 10. That durability gap means Tua Tagovailoa contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Tua Tagovailoa scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jameis Winston vs Tua Tagovailoa: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jameis Winston	Tua Tagovailoa
PPG (Half-PPR)	10.9	11.5
Games Played	10	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	109	161
Passing Yards	2,125	2,660
Passing TDs	13	20
Pass Yds/Game	212.5	190.0
Rushing Yards	45	43
Rushing TDs	1	0
Total TDs	14	20
TDs/Game	1.4	1.4
Age	-	28
Experience	-	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tua Tagovailoa holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 11.5 points per game. Jameis Winston averaged 10.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jameis Winston or Tua Tagovailoa in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Tua Tagovailoa has the edge at 11.5 PPG compared to Jameis Winston's 10.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jameis Winston and Tua Tagovailoa average in 2025?▾

Jameis Winston averaged 10.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 10 games in 2025. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 0.6 points per game.

When are Jameis Winston and Tua Tagovailoa's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jameis Winston (CLE) has a bye in Week 10, and Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jameis Winston or Tua Tagovailoa a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Tua Tagovailoa outscored Jameis Winston by 0.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.