Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Josh Allen vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Josh Allen is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 22.8 PPG to Kyler Murray's 15.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Josh Allen outscored Kyler Murray by 7.2 PPG in 2025 with 39 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Josh Allen is the clear pick. Kyler Murray profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER

Josh Allen

PPG

22.8

Games

Pass Yds

3,668

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

579

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

QBArizona Cardinals#22

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Josh Allen

Kyler Murray

Head to Head

22.8 PPG15.6 PPG

16 GP5 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen is producing at 104% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Josh Allen vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

Josh Allen and Kyler Murray are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Buffalo Bills quarterback averaged 22.8 PPG in 2025, a full 7.2 points per game ahead of Kyler Murray's 15.6 with the Arizona Cardinals. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

The per-game difference of 7.2 points favors Josh Allen, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Kyler Murray (962 passing yards, 6 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Josh Allen has his bye in Week 7, and Kyler Murray rests in Week 14. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Josh Allen is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Kyler Murray is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Josh Allen (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Josh Allen outscored Kyler Murray by a projected 122 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Josh Allen vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Josh Allen	Kyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)	22.8	15.6
Games Played	16	5
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	365	78
Passing Yards	3,668	962
Passing TDs	25	6
Pass Yds/Game	229.3	192.4
Rushing Yards	579	173
Rushing TDs	14	1
Total TDs	39	7
TDs/Game	2.4	1.4
Age	30	28
Experience	7 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 14

Summary

22.8 PPG for Josh Allen versus 15.6 for Kyler Murray in 2025. The baseline favors Josh Allen, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Allen or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Kyler Murray's 15.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen and Kyler Murray average in 2025?▾

Josh Allen averaged 22.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 7.2 points per game.

When are Josh Allen and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Allen or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Josh Allen outscored Kyler Murray by 7.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.