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Head to Head

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Josh Allen vs Malik WillisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Josh Allen is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 22.8 PPG to Malik Willis's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 22.8 PPG and 4,247 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Malik Willis (12.8 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Josh Allen as the starter and Malik Willis as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7
QBGreen Bay Packers#30
Malik Willis
PPG
12.8
Games
4
Pass Yds
422
Pass TDs
3
Rush Yds
123
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Josh Allen
Malik Willis

Head to Head

22.8 PPG12.8 PPG
16 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Malik Willis: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #30 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen is producing at 104% of elite pace and Malik Willis at 58%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Josh Allen vs Malik Willis: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Josh Allen put up 22.8 fantasy points per game for the Buffalo Bills in 2025, while Malik Willis managed 12.8 across 4 games with the Green Bay Packers. A 10.0-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

Josh Allen carries a 10.0-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Malik Willis (422 passing yards, 3 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Josh Allen sits Week 7 while Malik Willis is off Week 11. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Josh Allen at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Malik Willis is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Josh Allen (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Malik Willis (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored Malik Willis by a projected 170 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Malik Willis's 4. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Josh Allen vs Malik Willis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJosh AllenMalik Willis
PPG (Half-PPR)22.812.8
Games Played164
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)36551
Passing Yards3,668422
Passing TDs253
Pass Yds/Game229.3105.5
Rushing Yards579123
Rushing TDs142
Total TDs395
TDs/Game2.41.3
Age3027
Experience7 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 11

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Josh Allen holds the PPG edge with elite output at 22.8 points per game. Malik Willis averaged 12.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Allen or Malik Willis in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Malik Willis's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen and Malik Willis average in 2025?

Josh Allen averaged 22.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Malik Willis averaged 12.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 10.0 points per game.

When are Josh Allen and Malik Willis's bye weeks in 2026?

Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Malik Willis (GB) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Josh Allen or Malik Willis a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored Malik Willis by 10.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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