Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Josh Allen vs Trevor LawrenceWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Josh Allen is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 22.8 PPG to Trevor Lawrence's 19.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is the better play on a neutral week. 22.8 PPG with 4,247 yards gives a reliable baseline. Trevor Lawrence at 19.9 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Josh Allen higher, but do not fade Trevor Lawrence entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER

Josh Allen

PPG

22.8

Games

Pass Yds

3,668

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

579

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

QBJacksonville Jaguars#5

Trevor Lawrence

PPG

19.9

Games

Pass Yds

4,007

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

359

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Josh Allen

Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

22.8 PPG19.9 PPG

16 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen is producing at 104% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Josh Allen vs Trevor Lawrence: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence for your lineup, you are not alone. Josh Allen finished the 2025 season at 22.8 PPG for the Buffalo Bills (16 games), and Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 for the Jacksonville Jaguars (17 games).

That 2.9-point weekly advantage for Josh Allen is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Trevor Lawrence (4007 passing yards, 29 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Both share a Week 7 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking quarterbacks this deep on your bench, plan your replacement quarterback early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Josh Allen (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Josh Allen outscored Trevor Lawrence by a projected 49 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Josh Allen's 16. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Trevor Lawrence is 4 years younger than Josh Allen (26 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Josh Allen vs Trevor Lawrence: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Josh Allen	Trevor Lawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)	22.8	19.9
Games Played	16	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	365	338
Passing Yards	3,668	4,007
Passing TDs	25	29
Pass Yds/Game	229.3	235.7
Rushing Yards	579	359
Rushing TDs	14	9
Total TDs	39	38
TDs/Game	2.4	2.2
Age	30	26
Experience	7 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 7

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Josh Allen at 22.8 PPG, 2.9 points per game above Trevor Lawrence's 19.9. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Josh Allen or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Trevor Lawrence's 19.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?▾

Josh Allen averaged 22.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.9 points per game.

Do Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence share a Week 7 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Josh Allen or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Josh Allen outscored Trevor Lawrence by 2.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.