Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Justice Hill vs Michael CarterWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Michael Carter is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 6.3 PPG to Justice Hill's 6.1 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Michael Carter is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Michael Carter edges Justice Hill by 0.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Michael Carter goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBBaltimore Ravens#53

Justice Hill

PPG

6.1

Games

Rush Yds

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

169

Bye

Week 13

RBArizona Cardinals#51PPG LEADER

Michael Carter

PPG

6.3

Games

Rush Yds

333

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

267

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Justice Hill

Michael Carter

Head to Head

6.1 PPG6.3 PPG

9 GP13 GP

Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Michael Carter: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #51 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Justice Hill is producing at 28% of elite pace and Michael Carter at 29%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Justice Hill vs Michael Carter: The Full Breakdown

Justice Hill (6.1 PPG) and Michael Carter (6.3 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Justice Hill played 9 games for the Baltimore Ravens; Michael Carter suited up 13 times for the Arizona Cardinals.

A 0.2-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Justice Hill ran for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns; Michael Carter posted 333 and 1. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Justice Hill sits Week 13 while Michael Carter is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Michael Carter (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

•Michael Carter outscored Justice Hill by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Michael Carter played 13 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Michael Carter contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Justice Hill scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Michael Carter caught 33 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Justice Hill vs Michael Carter: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Justice Hill	Michael Carter
PPG (Half-PPR)	6.1	6.3
Games Played	9	13
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	55	82
Rushing Yards	93	333
Rush Yds/Game	10.3	25.6
Rushing TDs	2	1
Receptions	21	33
Receiving Yards	169	267
Targets	27	45
Total TDs	3	1
Age	28	27
Experience	6 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 13	Week 14

Summary

Michael Carter outscored Justice Hill by 0.2 PPG in 2025 (6.3 to 6.1). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justice Hill or Michael Carter in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Michael Carter has the edge at 6.3 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justice Hill and Michael Carter average in 2025?▾

Justice Hill averaged 6.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Michael Carter averaged 6.3 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Justice Hill and Michael Carter's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Justice Hill (BAL) has a bye in Week 13, and Michael Carter (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Justice Hill or Michael Carter a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Michael Carter outscored Justice Hill by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.