DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Justice Hill vs Nick ChubbWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Justice Hill is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 6.1 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Justice Hill is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Justice Hill and Nick Chubb are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.6-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Justice Hill and Nick Chubb in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App
RBBaltimore Ravens#53PPG LEADER
Justice Hill
PPG
6.1
Games
9
Rush Yds
93
Rush TDs
2
Rec
21
Rec Yds
169
Bye
Week 13
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Justice Hill
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

6.1 PPG5.5 PPG
9 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Justice Hill is producing at 28% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Justice Hill carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Justice Hill vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Justice Hill finished the 2025 season at 6.1 PPG over 9 games with the Baltimore Ravens, while Nick Chubb clocked in at 5.5 across 15 appearances for the Houston Texans. A 0.6-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Justice Hill ran for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Justice Hill is off Week 13 and Nick Chubb Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Justice Hill outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 10 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nick Chubb played 15 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Nick Chubb contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Justice Hill scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Justice Hill vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJustice HillNick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)6.15.5
Games Played915
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)5583
Rushing Yards93506
Rush Yds/Game10.333.7
Rushing TDs23
Receptions2113
Receiving Yards16967
Targets2720
Total TDs33
Age2830
Experience6 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 8

Summary

6.1 PPG for Justice Hill versus 5.5 for Nick Chubb in 2025. The baseline favors Justice Hill, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Justice Hill vs Nick Chubb

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Justice Hill vs Nick Chubb

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justice Hill or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Justice Hill has the edge at 6.1 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justice Hill and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

Justice Hill averaged 6.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.6 points per game.

When are Justice Hill and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

Justice Hill (BAL) has a bye in Week 13, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Justice Hill or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Justice Hill outscored Nick Chubb by 0.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

Fantasy Managers Also Compared

Similar matchups other managers are researching right now.