Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Justin Herbert vs Trevor LawrenceWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 19.9 PPG to Justin Herbert's 17.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

Trevor Lawrence has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.0-PPG advantage is real (19.9 to 17.9), and Trevor Lawrence's 38 touchdowns show scoring upside. Justin Herbert is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBLos Angeles Chargers#10

Justin Herbert

PPG

17.9

Games

Pass Yds

3,727

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

498

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER

Trevor Lawrence

PPG

19.9

Games

Pass Yds

4,007

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

359

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Justin Herbert

Trevor Lawrence

Head to Head

17.9 PPG19.9 PPG

16 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Justin Herbert: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #10 at the position). Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Justin Herbert is producing at 81% of elite pace and Trevor Lawrence at 90%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Justin Herbert vs Trevor Lawrence: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) finished the 2025 season averaging 17.9 fantasy points per game in 16 games. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) came in at 19.9 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Trevor Lawrence carries a 2.0-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Justin Herbert offers meaningful rushing upside with 498 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Trevor Lawrence (4007 passing yards, 29 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 7 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Justin Herbert (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Trevor Lawrence outscored Justin Herbert by a projected 34 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Justin Herbert's 16. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Justin Herbert added 498 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Both players share a Week 7 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Justin Herbert vs Trevor Lawrence: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Justin Herbert	Trevor Lawrence
PPG (Half-PPR)	17.9	19.9
Games Played	16	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	286	338
Passing Yards	3,727	4,007
Passing TDs	26	29
Pass Yds/Game	232.9	235.7
Rushing Yards	498	359
Rushing TDs	2	9
Total TDs	28	38
TDs/Game	1.8	2.2
Age	28	26
Experience	5 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Trevor Lawrence holds the PPG edge with strong output at 19.9 points per game. Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Justin Herbert's 17.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence average in 2025?▾

Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.0 points per game.

Do Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence share a Week 7 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Trevor Lawrence outscored Justin Herbert by 2.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.