Justin Herbert vs Tua Tagovailoa: Who Should You Start?
The numbers tell a clear story here. Justin Herbert put up 18.7 fantasy points per game for the Los Angeles Chargers in 2025, while Tua Tagovailoa managed 12.6 across 14 games with the Atlanta Falcons. A 6.1-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.
A 6.1-PPG gap gives Justin Herbert the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.
Justin Herbert offers meaningful rushing upside with 498 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Tua Tagovailoa (2660 passing yards, 20 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.
Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Justin Herbert sits Week 5 while Tua Tagovailoa is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.