Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Luke Musgrave vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Luke Musgrave is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 4.8 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Luke Musgrave is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Luke Musgrave edges Noah Gray by 0.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Luke Musgrave goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEGreen Bay Packers#99PPG LEADER

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

TEKansas City Chiefs#99

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Luke Musgrave

Noah Gray

Head to Head

4.8 PPG4.6 PPG

14 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Luke Musgrave is producing at 22% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Luke Musgrave vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Luke Musgrave finished the 2025 season at 4.8 PPG over 14 games with the Green Bay Packers, while Noah Gray clocked in at 4.6 across 17 appearances for the Kansas City Chiefs. A 0.2-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Luke Musgrave had 30 catches for 335 yards; Noah Gray posted 38 for 385. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Luke Musgrave is off Week 10 and Noah Gray Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Luke Musgrave outscored Noah Gray by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Luke Musgrave's 14. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Luke Musgrave scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Noah Gray saw 50 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luke Musgrave vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Luke Musgrave	Noah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.8	4.6
Games Played	14	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	67	78
Receptions	30	38
Rec/Game	2.1	2.2
Receiving Yards	335	385
Rec Yds/Game	23.9	22.6
Receiving TDs	2	2
Targets	42	50
Target Share/Game	3.0	2.9
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 6

Summary

Luke Musgrave outscored Noah Gray by 0.2 PPG in 2025 (4.8 to 4.6). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luke Musgrave or Noah Gray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Luke Musgrave has the edge at 4.8 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luke Musgrave and Noah Gray average in 2025?▾

Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Luke Musgrave and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Luke Musgrave or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Luke Musgrave outscored Noah Gray by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.