Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Luke Musgrave vs Terrance FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Luke Musgrave is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 4.8 PPG to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Luke Musgrave is the better fantasy play this season.

Luke Musgrave has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.5-PPG advantage is real (4.8 to 3.3), and Luke Musgrave's 2 touchdowns show scoring upside. Terrance Ferguson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Luke Musgrave and Terrance Ferguson in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App

TEGreen Bay Packers#99PPG LEADER

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

TELos Angeles Rams#99

Terrance Ferguson

PPG

3.3

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

231

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Luke Musgrave

Terrance Ferguson

Head to Head

4.8 PPG3.3 PPG

14 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Terrance Ferguson: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Luke Musgrave is producing at 22% of elite pace and Terrance Ferguson at 15%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Luke Musgrave vs Terrance Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Luke Musgrave (Green Bay Packers) finished the 2025 season averaging 4.8 fantasy points per game in 14 games. Terrance Ferguson (Los Angeles Rams) came in at 3.3 PPG over 14 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Luke Musgrave carries a 1.5-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Luke Musgrave is the volume tight end in this matchup with 30 receptions for 335 yards, while Terrance Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (3 scores on 11 catches). In weeks where Terrance Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores Luke Musgrave, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Luke Musgrave is off Week 10 and Terrance Ferguson Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Luke Musgrave outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 26 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Terrance Ferguson scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Luke Musgrave saw 42 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luke Musgrave vs Terrance Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Luke Musgrave	Terrance Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.8	3.3
Games Played	14	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	67	46
Receptions	30	11
Rec/Game	2.1	0.8
Receiving Yards	335	231
Rec Yds/Game	23.9	16.5
Receiving TDs	2	3
Targets	42	25
Target Share/Game	3.0	1.8
Age	-	23
Experience	-	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Luke Musgrave holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 4.8 points per game. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Luke Musgrave vs Terrance Ferguson

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Luke Musgrave vs Terrance Ferguson

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luke Musgrave or Terrance Ferguson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Luke Musgrave has the edge at 4.8 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luke Musgrave and Terrance Ferguson average in 2025?▾

Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 1.5 points per game.

When are Luke Musgrave and Terrance Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10, and Terrance Ferguson (LAR) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Luke Musgrave or Terrance Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Luke Musgrave outscored Terrance Ferguson by 1.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.