Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Luke Musgrave vs Theo JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Theo Johnson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.0 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Theo Johnson is the better fantasy play this season.

Theo Johnson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.2-PPG advantage is real (7.0 to 4.8), and Theo Johnson's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luke Musgrave is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEGreen Bay Packers#99

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

TENew York Giants#24PPG LEADER

Theo Johnson

PPG

7.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

528

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Luke Musgrave

Theo Johnson

Head to Head

4.8 PPG7.0 PPG

14 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Theo Johnson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Luke Musgrave is producing at 22% of elite pace and Theo Johnson at 32%. That ranking gap means Theo Johnson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Luke Musgrave vs Theo Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Luke Musgrave and Theo Johnson are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG across 14 games with the Green Bay Packers, while Theo Johnson posted 7.0 PPG in 15 appearances for the New York Giants.

A 2.2-PPG gap gives Theo Johnson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Luke Musgrave had 30 catches for 335 yards; Theo Johnson posted 45 for 528. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Luke Musgrave is off Week 10 and Theo Johnson Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Theo Johnson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Theo Johnson outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 37 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Theo Johnson played 15 games in 2025 compared to Luke Musgrave's 14. That durability gap means Theo Johnson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Theo Johnson scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Theo Johnson saw 74 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luke Musgrave vs Theo Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Luke Musgrave	Theo Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.8	7.0
Games Played	14	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	67	105
Receptions	30	45
Rec/Game	2.1	3.0
Receiving Yards	335	528
Rec Yds/Game	23.9	35.2
Receiving TDs	2	5
Targets	42	74
Target Share/Game	3.0	4.9
Age	-	25
Experience	-	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 8

Summary

Theo Johnson outscored Luke Musgrave by 2.2 PPG in 2025 (7.0 to 4.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luke Musgrave or Theo Johnson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Theo Johnson has the edge at 7.0 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luke Musgrave and Theo Johnson average in 2025?▾

Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Theo Johnson averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 2.2 points per game.

When are Luke Musgrave and Theo Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10, and Theo Johnson (NYG) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Luke Musgrave or Theo Johnson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Theo Johnson outscored Luke Musgrave by 2.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.