Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Luke Musgrave vs T.J. HockensonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

T.J. Hockenson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 5.8 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

T.J. Hockenson is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, T.J. Hockenson and Luke Musgrave are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 1.0-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEGreen Bay Packers#99

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

TEMinnesota Vikings#30PPG LEADER

T.J. Hockenson

PPG

5.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

438

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Luke Musgrave

T.J. Hockenson

Head to Head

4.8 PPG5.8 PPG

14 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). T.J. Hockenson: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #30 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Luke Musgrave is producing at 22% of elite pace and T.J. Hockenson at 26%. That ranking gap means T.J. Hockenson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Luke Musgrave vs T.J. Hockenson: The Full Breakdown

Luke Musgrave (4.8 PPG) and T.J. Hockenson (5.8 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Luke Musgrave played 14 games for the Green Bay Packers; T.J. Hockenson suited up 15 times for the Minnesota Vikings.

A 1.0-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

T.J. Hockenson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 51 receptions for 438 yards, while Luke Musgrave profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 30 catches). In weeks where Luke Musgrave finds the end zone he out-scores T.J. Hockenson, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Luke Musgrave sits Week 10 while T.J. Hockenson is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. T.J. Hockenson (age 28) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•T.J. Hockenson outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 17 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•T.J. Hockenson played 15 games in 2025 compared to Luke Musgrave's 14. That durability gap means T.J. Hockenson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•T.J. Hockenson scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•T.J. Hockenson saw 66 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luke Musgrave vs T.J. Hockenson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Luke Musgrave	T.J. Hockenson
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.8	5.8
Games Played	14	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	67	87
Receptions	30	51
Rec/Game	2.1	3.4
Receiving Yards	335	438
Rec Yds/Game	23.9	29.2
Receiving TDs	2	3
Targets	42	66
Target Share/Game	3.0	4.4
Age	-	28
Experience	-	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 6

Summary

5.8 PPG for T.J. Hockenson versus 4.8 for Luke Musgrave in 2025. The baseline favors T.J. Hockenson, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luke Musgrave or T.J. Hockenson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, T.J. Hockenson has the edge at 5.8 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luke Musgrave and T.J. Hockenson average in 2025?▾

Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. T.J. Hockenson averaged 5.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.0 points per game.

When are Luke Musgrave and T.J. Hockenson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10, and T.J. Hockenson (MIN) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Luke Musgrave or T.J. Hockenson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

T.J. Hockenson outscored Luke Musgrave by 1.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.