Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Luke Musgrave vs Travis KelceWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Travis Kelce is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.1 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Travis Kelce is the better fantasy play this season.

Travis Kelce has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.3-PPG advantage is real (9.1 to 4.8), and Travis Kelce's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luke Musgrave is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEGreen Bay Packers#99

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

TEKansas City Chiefs#10PPG LEADER

Travis Kelce

PPG

9.1

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

851

Rec TDs

Targets

108

Bye

Week 5

The Edge Chart

Luke Musgrave

Travis Kelce

Head to Head

4.8 PPG9.1 PPG

14 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Travis Kelce: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #10 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Luke Musgrave is producing at 22% of elite pace and Travis Kelce at 41%. That ranking gap means Travis Kelce carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Luke Musgrave vs Travis Kelce: The Full Breakdown

Luke Musgrave and Travis Kelce are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG across 14 games with the Green Bay Packers, while Travis Kelce posted 9.1 PPG in 17 appearances for the Kansas City Chiefs.

A 4.3-PPG gap gives Travis Kelce the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Travis Kelce is the volume tight end in this matchup with 76 receptions for 851 yards, while Luke Musgrave profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 30 catches). In weeks where Luke Musgrave finds the end zone he out-scores Travis Kelce, but the floor gap is real.

Luke Musgrave has his bye in Week 10, and Travis Kelce rests in Week 5. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Travis Kelce at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Luke Musgrave is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Travis Kelce (age 36) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

•Travis Kelce outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 73 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Travis Kelce played 17 games in 2025 compared to Luke Musgrave's 14. That durability gap means Travis Kelce contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Travis Kelce scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Travis Kelce saw 108 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luke Musgrave vs Travis Kelce: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Luke Musgrave	Travis Kelce
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.8	9.1
Games Played	14	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	67	155
Receptions	30	76
Rec/Game	2.1	4.5
Receiving Yards	335	851
Rec Yds/Game	23.9	50.1
Receiving TDs	2	5
Targets	42	108
Target Share/Game	3.0	6.4
Age	-	36
Experience	-	12 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 5

Summary

Travis Kelce outscored Luke Musgrave by 4.3 PPG in 2025 (9.1 to 4.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luke Musgrave or Travis Kelce in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Travis Kelce has the edge at 9.1 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luke Musgrave and Travis Kelce average in 2025?▾

Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Travis Kelce averaged 9.1 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 4.3 points per game.

When are Luke Musgrave and Travis Kelce's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10, and Travis Kelce (KC) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Luke Musgrave or Travis Kelce a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Travis Kelce outscored Luke Musgrave by 4.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.