Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Luther Burden III vs Tyler LockettWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Luther Burden III is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.0 PPG to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Luther Burden III is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Luther Burden III and Tyler Lockett are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.1-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRChicago Bears#60PPG LEADER

Luther Burden III

PPG

7.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

652

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

WRSeattle Seahawks#99

Tyler Lockett

PPG

6.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

548

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Luther Burden III

Tyler Lockett

Head to Head

7.0 PPG6.9 PPG

15 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Luther Burden III: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #60 at the position). Tyler Lockett: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Luther Burden III is producing at 32% of elite pace and Tyler Lockett at 31%. That ranking gap means Luther Burden III carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Luther Burden III vs Tyler Lockett: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Luther Burden III finished the 2025 season at 7.0 PPG over 15 games with the Chicago Bears, while Tyler Lockett clocked in at 6.9 across 15 appearances for the Seattle Seahawks. A 0.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Luther Burden III turned 60 targets into 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Tyler Lockett converted 72 looks into 548 yards and 2 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

Both share a Week 10 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking wide receivers this deep on your bench, plan your replacement wide receiver early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Luther Burden III (age 22) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Tyler Lockett (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Luther Burden III outscored Tyler Lockett by a projected 2 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Luther Burden III scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Tyler Lockett saw 72 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
•Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luther Burden III vs Tyler Lockett: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Luther Burden III	Tyler Lockett
PPG (Half-PPR)	7.0	6.9
Games Played	15	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	105	104
Receptions	47	48
Rec/Game	3.1	3.2
Receiving Yards	652	548
Rec Yds/Game	43.5	36.5
Receiving TDs	2	2
Targets	60	72
Target Share/Game	4.0	4.8
Age	22	-
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 10

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Luther Burden III at 7.0 PPG, 0.1 points per game above Tyler Lockett's 6.9. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luther Burden III or Tyler Lockett in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Luther Burden III has the edge at 7.0 PPG compared to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luther Burden III and Tyler Lockett average in 2025?▾

Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tyler Lockett averaged 6.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.1 points per game.

Do Luther Burden III and Tyler Lockett share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Luther Burden III and Tyler Lockett share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at wide receiver for that week.

Is Luther Burden III or Tyler Lockett a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Luther Burden III outscored Tyler Lockett by 0.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.