Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Noah Gray vs Terrance FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Noah Gray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 4.6 PPG to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Noah Gray is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Noah Gray edges Terrance Ferguson by 1.3 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Noah Gray goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEKansas City Chiefs#99PPG LEADER

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

TELos Angeles Rams#99

Terrance Ferguson

PPG

3.3

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

231

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Noah Gray

Terrance Ferguson

Head to Head

4.6 PPG3.3 PPG

17 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Terrance Ferguson: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Noah Gray is producing at 21% of elite pace and Terrance Ferguson at 15%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Noah Gray vs Terrance Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Noah Gray and Terrance Ferguson is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.3 PPG in 2025, this is one of those tight end decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG with the Kansas City Chiefs across 17 games, and Terrance Ferguson posted 3.3 with the Los Angeles Rams in 14.

When two tight ends are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Noah Gray is the volume tight end in this matchup with 38 receptions for 385 yards, while Terrance Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (3 scores on 11 catches). In weeks where Terrance Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores Noah Gray, but the floor gap is real.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 6 bye. That means you need a backup plan at tight end for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Noah Gray outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 22 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Terrance Ferguson's 14. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Terrance Ferguson scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Noah Gray saw 50 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Both players share a Week 6 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Noah Gray vs Terrance Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Noah Gray	Terrance Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.6	3.3
Games Played	17	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	78	46
Receptions	38	11
Rec/Game	2.2	0.8
Receiving Yards	385	231
Rec Yds/Game	22.6	16.5
Receiving TDs	2	3
Targets	50	25
Target Share/Game	2.9	1.8
Age	-	23
Experience	-	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Noah Gray holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 4.6 points per game. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Noah Gray or Terrance Ferguson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Noah Gray has the edge at 4.6 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Noah Gray and Terrance Ferguson average in 2025?▾

Noah Gray averaged 4.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 1.3 points per game.

Do Noah Gray and Terrance Ferguson share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Noah Gray and Terrance Ferguson share a Week 6 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at tight end for that week.

Is Noah Gray or Terrance Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Noah Gray outscored Terrance Ferguson by 1.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.