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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Noah Gray vs Trey McBrideWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Trey McBride is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.9 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Trey McBride is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Trey McBride outscored Noah Gray by 10.3 PPG in 2025 with 11 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Trey McBride is the clear pick. Noah Gray profiles as a matchup-dependent tight end who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TEKansas City Chiefs#99
Noah Gray
PPG
4.6
Games
17
Rec
38
Rec Yds
385
Rec TDs
2
Targets
50
Bye
Week 6
TEArizona Cardinals#1PPG LEADER
Trey McBride
PPG
14.9
Games
17
Rec
126
Rec Yds
1,239
Rec TDs
11
Targets
169
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Noah Gray
Trey McBride

Head to Head

4.6 PPG14.9 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Trey McBride: Tier 1 (Elite) TE (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Noah Gray is producing at 21% of elite pace and Trey McBride at 68%. That ranking gap means Trey McBride carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Noah Gray vs Trey McBride: The Full Breakdown

Trey McBride and Noah Gray are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Arizona Cardinals tight end averaged 14.9 PPG in 2025, a full 10.3 points per game ahead of Noah Gray's 4.6 with the Kansas City Chiefs. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

That 10.3-point weekly advantage for Trey McBride is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Trey McBride is the volume tight end in this matchup with 126 receptions for 1239 yards, while Noah Gray profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 38 catches). In weeks where Noah Gray finds the end zone he out-scores Trey McBride, but the floor gap is real.

Noah Gray has his bye in Week 6, and Trey McBride rests in Week 14. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Trey McBride is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Noah Gray is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Trey McBride (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Trey McBride outscored Noah Gray by a projected 175 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trey McBride scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Trey McBride saw 169 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Noah Gray vs Trey McBride: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatNoah GrayTrey McBride
PPG (Half-PPR)4.614.9
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)78253
Receptions38126
Rec/Game2.27.4
Receiving Yards3851,239
Rec Yds/Game22.672.9
Receiving TDs211
Targets50169
Target Share/Game2.99.9
Age-26
Experience-3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 14

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Trey McBride at 14.9 PPG, 10.3 points per game above Noah Gray's 4.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Noah Gray or Trey McBride in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trey McBride has the edge at 14.9 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Noah Gray and Trey McBride average in 2025?

Noah Gray averaged 4.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Trey McBride averaged 14.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 10.3 points per game.

When are Noah Gray and Trey McBride's bye weeks in 2026?

Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6, and Trey McBride (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Noah Gray or Trey McBride a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Trey McBride outscored Noah Gray by 10.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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