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Head to Head

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Noah Gray vs Tyler WarrenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

Tyler Warren has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.3-PPG advantage is real (8.9 to 4.6), and Tyler Warren's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Noah Gray is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEKansas City Chiefs#99
Noah Gray
PPG
4.6
Games
17
Rec
38
Rec Yds
385
Rec TDs
2
Targets
50
Bye
Week 6
TEIndianapolis Colts#12PPG LEADER
Tyler Warren
PPG
8.9
Games
17
Rec
76
Rec Yds
817
Rec TDs
4
Targets
112
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Noah Gray
Tyler Warren

Head to Head

4.6 PPG8.9 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Tyler Warren: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #12 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Noah Gray is producing at 21% of elite pace and Tyler Warren at 40%. That ranking gap means Tyler Warren carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Noah Gray vs Tyler Warren: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Noah Gray (Kansas City Chiefs) finished the 2025 season averaging 4.6 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Tyler Warren (Indianapolis Colts) came in at 8.9 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Tyler Warren carries a 4.3-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Tyler Warren is the volume tight end in this matchup with 76 receptions for 817 yards, while Noah Gray profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 38 catches). In weeks where Noah Gray finds the end zone he out-scores Tyler Warren, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Noah Gray is off Week 6 and Tyler Warren Week 13. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Tyler Warren at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Noah Gray is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Warren (age 24) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Tyler Warren outscored Noah Gray by a projected 73 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tyler Warren scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Tyler Warren saw 112 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Noah Gray vs Tyler Warren: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatNoah GrayTyler Warren
PPG (Half-PPR)4.68.9
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)78151
Receptions3876
Rec/Game2.24.5
Receiving Yards385817
Rec Yds/Game22.648.1
Receiving TDs24
Targets50112
Target Share/Game2.96.6
Age-24
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tyler Warren holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.9 points per game. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Noah Gray or Tyler Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Warren has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Noah Gray and Tyler Warren average in 2025?

Noah Gray averaged 4.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tyler Warren averaged 8.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 4.3 points per game.

When are Noah Gray and Tyler Warren's bye weeks in 2026?

Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6, and Tyler Warren (IND) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Noah Gray or Tyler Warren a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Tyler Warren outscored Noah Gray by 4.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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